Chances for 0, 1, and 2 wins in regular season

[UCFProf]

I'll update these tomorrow morning (in this thread) when the new ESPN game probabilities come out, but for last weeks odds, it's now 50-50 that UCF wins exactly one of its two games this month, 38% that we lose both, and 12% that we win both (because Tulsa and USF on the road are two of UCF's toughest games). Those chances may improve a bit after today's outcomes.
Update: barely any change in game probabilities.
Bonus: Chance of UCF winning the division:
Temple must lose to Tulane and ECU: 2.5%
UCF must win both remaining games: 12%
Probability of winning the division: 0.3%

 

[mattropolis]

Tulsa is a home game

 

[G-Knight]

Update? I haven't watched Tulsa play this season, but it looks like they put up alot of points. Our offense is going to have to sustain drives and actually score some points if we want to win this game (unless our D comes up big again).

 

[UCFProf]

Update? I haven't watched Tulsa play this season, but it looks like they put up alot of points. Our offense is going to have to sustain drives and actually score some points if we want to win this game (unless our D comes up big again).

You are right. UCF is only surrendering 18.5 points per game in this high-scoring conference, but are lucky to not have Navy and Memphis on the schedule. However, the Knights could have beaten two of the best in the AAC, Houston and Temple.