Still awaiting the details on the expanded CFP. Here's my estimate of how many teams each conference gets into the CFP each year based on conferences as they stand now.
SEC - 3-4 teams
Big 10 - 2-3 teams
ACC - 1-2 teams
Big 12 - 1 team most years occasionally 2
Pac 12 - 1 team most years occasionally 2
AAC - 1 team
MWC - 1 team (if the AAC eats itself)
A change Brandon mentioned and Marc Daniels discussed this morning is a rule change allowing conferences to get rid of divisions and put their 2 best teams in the CCG to get the best seeding possible. That also means any expansion doesn't have to be in 2's.
Let's assume CFP payouts will be to conferences by the number of teams they have in the CFP.
The Big 12 will fall further behind the other conferences because they will never have more than 2 teams in the playoff with 10 members doing a round robin. They'll be the most incentivized to expand, go divisionless and gain playoff bids. Is this why ESPN decided to wait on renewing their TV contract? Their existing value just dropped from constantly having a team in the 4 team playoff to having 1-2 in a 12 team playoff.
The ACC finally accepts that ND is never joining a conference for football, ND actually has an easier path to the playoffs than the 4 team format (which they made twice) and while they wont qualify for a first round bye they also don't need to play a CCG so you could say they take their bye a week earlier. The argument of FSU & Miami blocking UCF to the ACC in order to prevent us from being elevated is gone, the system just elevated us and we have a legitimate and arguably easier path to the playoff than FSU or Miami. Does the ACC realize UCF will be a powerhouse in this expanded playoff and pick us up to add to their football ranks and lock up the state of Florida? Maybe. I think it would require a similar path that Miami took, winning the NC a couple times before being invited.
More teams (within reason) gives the opportunity for conferences to have multiple undefeated or 1 loss teams positioning them to get more bids for the expanded CFP. The SEC is in the driver seat with the Big 10 riding shotgun while the ACC, Big 12 & Pac 12 are trying to catch them.
SEC - 3-4 teams
Big 10 - 2-3 teams
ACC - 1-2 teams
Big 12 - 1 team most years occasionally 2
Pac 12 - 1 team most years occasionally 2
AAC - 1 team
MWC - 1 team (if the AAC eats itself)
A change Brandon mentioned and Marc Daniels discussed this morning is a rule change allowing conferences to get rid of divisions and put their 2 best teams in the CCG to get the best seeding possible. That also means any expansion doesn't have to be in 2's.
Let's assume CFP payouts will be to conferences by the number of teams they have in the CFP.
The Big 12 will fall further behind the other conferences because they will never have more than 2 teams in the playoff with 10 members doing a round robin. They'll be the most incentivized to expand, go divisionless and gain playoff bids. Is this why ESPN decided to wait on renewing their TV contract? Their existing value just dropped from constantly having a team in the 4 team playoff to having 1-2 in a 12 team playoff.
The ACC finally accepts that ND is never joining a conference for football, ND actually has an easier path to the playoffs than the 4 team format (which they made twice) and while they wont qualify for a first round bye they also don't need to play a CCG so you could say they take their bye a week earlier. The argument of FSU & Miami blocking UCF to the ACC in order to prevent us from being elevated is gone, the system just elevated us and we have a legitimate and arguably easier path to the playoff than FSU or Miami. Does the ACC realize UCF will be a powerhouse in this expanded playoff and pick us up to add to their football ranks and lock up the state of Florida? Maybe. I think it would require a similar path that Miami took, winning the NC a couple times before being invited.
More teams (within reason) gives the opportunity for conferences to have multiple undefeated or 1 loss teams positioning them to get more bids for the expanded CFP. The SEC is in the driver seat with the Big 10 riding shotgun while the ACC, Big 12 & Pac 12 are trying to catch them.
