Game 7, UCF @ ECU, sims and predictions.

[mr. knightman]

10/20/2022 ECU Edition:


Let's recap the Space Game versus Temple...

Julian and I both got the defense right. Julian predicted 56-3 and I predicted 49-17. I was closer this time!!!

I KNEW the offense would get better after watching SMU, but holy sh!t...

While things may start slow against ECU, I think things gel again...UCF now leads the conference in both total Offense and Defense now.


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ECU Fun-Facts:

At the start of every football game, a canon is fired to symbolize the beginning of a battle.This began in 1967, and in 1984 the staff decided to fire a canon every time a player scored to boost crowd morale.This has become a large tradition at ECU, making the teams entrance and all quarters of the game very interesting and unique.

East Carolina University's slogan is "no quarter".This was drafted because if pirate ships would refuse to surrender, they would lower the Jolly Roger flag and raise a no quarter flag, meaning they would offer no mercy. At every football game, during the third quarter this flag is raised.Beginning in 2017, the pirates had a large no quarter flag that covered the entire Boneyard raised by students.



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Players to watch for ECU:

Holton Ahlers - 6'4" 240 pounds, QB. It what seems to be his 12th year, Holton is 3rd in passing in AAC.

Keaton Mitchell - 5'9" 184 pounds, RB. Leads conference...

Isaiah Winstead - 6'4" 213 pounds, WR. 3rd in conference for recieving. Transfer from Toledo.





***Onto the REAL Beef*** (or Street Tacos. That's it...Street Tacos.)

Weather forecast at 7:30PM Eastern kickoff:
Sunset: 6:25pm
Temp: 60F
Chance of rain: 10%


TV: ESPNU


I ran 12 CPU simulations for a good math spread. I think the offense is going to be more in tune, this may be close for first half, with UCF pulling away in the second half. I know ECU has a good record, Holton Ahlers is STILL there. I fully believe UCF wins this one by a couple scores.

Average of 12 simulation results:

UCF 51
ECU 31

Sim Avg Spread:
UCF -20 (Vegas: UCF -4.5 9:20 10/20/22)



"Heart" Prediction:

The defense is stout, and ranked among the best. I think the offense is going to continue being better.


UCF 42
ECU 28

"Heart" spread:

CENTRAL FLORIDA: -14 (Vegas be damned)

My friend's son Julian's prediction:

UCF 31
ECU 14

Julian's line of doom: UCF -17 (He's not old enough for Vegas, sorry)

 

[WeAreUCFamily]

Did you account for Ahler's dad being the stadium announcer?*🤣🤣🤣

 

[SimpleJack53]

Winsipedia - UCF Knights vs. East Carolina Pirates football series history

Winsipedia - Database and infographics of UCF Knights vs. East Carolina Pirates football series history and all-time records, national championships, conference championships, bowl games, wins, bowl record, All-Americans, Heisman winners, and NFL Draft picks

www.winsipedia.com

Winsapedia says the Knights are 10-10 vs the Pirates. So this is for the lead in the series!

 

[dali drama]

This is cool

 

[BlakNGoldAllDay]

Winsipedia - UCF Knights vs. East Carolina Pirates football series history

Winsipedia - Database and infographics of UCF Knights vs. East Carolina Pirates football series history and all-time records, national championships, conference championships, bowl games, wins, bowl record, All-Americans, Heisman winners, and NFL Draft picks

www.winsipedia.com

Winsapedia says the Knights are 10-10 vs the Pirates. So this is for the lead in the series!

It would even up the series at DFS as well.

 

[HammerB08]

So the only loss was the one where we didn't score in the first quarter? Interesting. Will be panic-inducing now if we don't score in the 1st Q. Haha.

 

[U C to the F]

I like your offense outcome with Julian’s defense outcome. 42-14 UCF.

 

[mr. knightman]

What thewnw eoenh...neghrnrn.......%$@#!$#%&&#%7/././

 

[beelit47]

Time to re-configure the software to account for Jrp. If the ncaa college football video game was still around I would set JRP’s speed at 96 and his Awareness at 9

 

[mr. knightman]

Time to re-configure the software to account for Jrp. If the ncaa college football video game was still around I would set JRP’s speed at 96 and his Awareness at 9

It is actually still around and remastered... Added CFP too.

But yeah, JRP awareness was a bit goofy last night. One more of these and start starting Castellanos for big 12 play.

 

[beelit47]

It is actually still around and remastered... Added CFP too.

But yeah, JRP awareness was a bit goofy last night. One more of these and start starting Castellanos for big 12 play.

I think jrp will start at least next week. All things considered if we win out, we host the ccg as a 1 loss team with wins over cincy and tulane. Not likely but if we do lose to cincy i see tommy getting valuable reps for remainder of season

 

[BlakNGoldAllDay]

I think jrp will start at least next week. All things considered if we win out, we host the ccg as a 1 loss team with wins over cincy and tulane. Not likely but if we do lose to cincy i see tommy getting valuable reps for remainder of season

I think Gus wants JRP back. I don’t think he sits him.

 

[mr. knightman]

The offense "trend math" is all borked now...lol, started to see some of it. I think it also shows the offense can "be in its own head". Very psychological.

Frost even gave Milton a chance after a lackluster, mediocre season.

So far, offense has been...