I'm having a hard time seeing 6 wins on our schedule, help me out.

[CFKnight]

Alright, which games are you super confident as wins.

1. FCS
2. FIU
3. Tulane
4. Tulsa ?

The unknown is killing me, no idea what to but its hard to be excited after last season.

I'll be at the FIU game but other than that. I'm not planning to go to any more yet.

 

[Ucfmikes]

When you break it down by each individual opponent, your won't see 6 wins. I've read a lot of numbers being thrown out between 4-8 wins. Even 2-3. I can tell you with near certainty that we will be between 1-11 and 10-2. Really going out on a limb here, but UCF is probably college footballs most mysterious team in terms of what to expect.

Realistically, we aren't beating Michigan and UConn, USF, Houston, all destroyed us at home last year and
now we play them on the road. It's very, very unlikely that we are beating Cincinatti, since that game last year wasn't close at all in any phase of the game from the start. However, their defense always seems to leave them vulnerable to an upset.

So.., that's 5 nearly certain losses without giving it much thought.

Expect, closer exciting games this year, possibly an upset or 2 and a vastly improved 2017 team. This topic will be a little easier to discuss as the summer rolls on and Frost names the starters and 2 deep.

 

[firm_bizzle]

UConn

 

[SublimeKnight]

When I look over the schedule it sets up for boom or bust. The level of difficulty goes up as the season goes on (with exception to Michigan of course). I expect this team to get much better week to week vs their competition, since they're learning a new offense/defense. Given that, if this team gets out of the blocks at 3-1 or 2-2, the sky becomes the limit (boom), you can definitely see a 3-1 UCF improving to the point that they're potentially beating USF at the end of the season. 1-3 start becomes quicksand. Each week there's improvement, but potentially not enough to overcome the increasingly better competition. Maybe in week 9+ they could beat FIU or Tulane, but instead they're playing teams like Cincy and Houston.

 

[UCFProf]

We aren't talking about a P-5 conference schedule here. Of course, we could still feasibly start the season 1-3 (or even 0-4 like last year). But 6 wins is also not outrageously unlikely. Part of the solution is getting our lost attendance back to restore the home field advantage, and fortunately, the lack of those horrid mid-week home games (two of them last year) will help a lot, along with the initial curiosity changing to genuine excitement about a fast-paced, higher scoring style of play. Basically, we need to go 3-1 at home and steal any wins on the road. Lastly, the conference shouldn't be as good this year (or perhaps ever again) as P-5 rules and practices enable them to vacuum up even more top recruits and steal our best coaches (a la Memphis').

 

[Central Floridave]

I'm looking at the bright side, I won't have to spend a ton of money and planning on going to a bowl game this year! Go Knights!

 

[MechaKnight]

UConn, USF, Houston, all destroyed us at home last year and now we play them on the road.

Last year our team gave up @Tulane and never recovered. Scores from last October and November won't tell us much about this year. Did we have talented guys that were just handicapped by injuries, youth, bad coaching, and low morale? If so, will they be able to adapt to Frost?

I'm confident we'll beat SC State and lose to Michigan. After that it's a crap shoot. Maryland looks about as good as an average AAC team, so game 3 will tell us a lot.

 

[Ucfmikes]

When I look over the schedule it sets up for boom or bust. The level of difficulty goes up as the season goes on (with exception to Michigan of course). I expect this team to get much better week to week vs their competition, since they're learning a new offense/defense. Given that, if this team gets out of the blocks at 3-1 or 2-2, the sky becomes the limit (boom), you can definitely see a 3-1 UCF improving to the point that they're potentially beating USF at the end of the season. 1-3 start becomes quicksand. Each week there's improvement, but potentially not enough to overcome the increasingly better competition. Maybe in week 9+ they could beat FIU or Tulane, but instead they're playing teams like Cincy and Houston.

3-1 would be amazing. It seems like we say that every year, but it rarely happens. I fully expect us to beat SC State (although it's not a given), a close win or loss to FIU and Maryland although they have P5 talent is not a good team. That potentially could be an upset and the fans would really be on board with the new regime. A Maryland win would mean a lot to this program even though in the surface it doesn't look like it's an important game.

BTW, yesterday Jim Harbough was interviewed on ESPN. He's scary intense. He's really going to let us have it, but Frost will have our guys ready.

 

[KnightLife1]

2016 UCF Victories will include:
1. So. Carolina St. (it won't be easy, this is a relatively big and fast FCS team)
2. FIU -no problem
3. Maryland (will be close but we can upset them)
4. Tulsa- no problem, but they do have some speed & playmakers
5. Tulane- no problem
6. UConn (we are better than them but laid down last year)
7. Cincy (they are overrated)
8. Temple (this one scares me, must contain their dual threat QB)

The wild card is the ECU game. We may win that one, but we may lose one of the above. So in any event, 7 games minimum, possible 8 wins.
There you have it, 7-5 or 8-4, and we go bowling too!

 

[Ucfmikes]

2016 UCF Victories will include:
1. So. Carolina St. (it won't be easy, this is a relatively big and fast FCS team)
2. FIU -no problem
3. Maryland (will be close but we can upset them)
4. Tulsa- no problem, but they do have some speed & playmakers
5. Tulane- no problem
6. UConn (we are better than them but laid down last year)
7. Cincy (they are overrated)
8. Temple (this one scares me, must contain their dual threat QB)

The wild card is the ECU game. We may win that one, but we may lose one of the above. So in any event, 7 games minimum, possible 8 wins.
There you have it, 7-5 or 8-4, and we go bowling too!

Take off your UCF blinders. Want to put money on that we won't win over 6 games? Where do I sign up?

 

[firm_bizzle]

When I look over the schedule it sets up for boom or bust. The level of difficulty goes up as the season goes on (with exception to Michigan of course). I expect this team to get much better week to week vs their competition, since they're learning a new offense/defense. Given that, if this team gets out of the blocks at 3-1 or 2-2, the sky becomes the limit (boom), you can definitely see a 3-1 UCF improving to the point that they're potentially beating USF at the end of the season. 1-3 start becomes quicksand. Each week there's improvement, but potentially not enough to overcome the increasingly better competition. Maybe in week 9+ they could beat FIU or Tulane, but instead they're playing teams like Cincy and Houston.

We have more talent on our roster than 8 teams on our schedule. We have better coaching than 8-9 teams on our schedule. 8-9 wins is not out of the question.

 

[KnightLife1]

Take off your UCF blinders.

LOL! Mikes, I just knew you would jump on me about this. I was waiting to hear from you! Thanks for the smiles lately.....

 

[Ucfmikes]

We have more talent on our roster than 8 teams on our schedule. We have better coaching than 8-9 teams on our schedule. 8-9 wins is not out of the question.

Ugh. I'm a huge fan and I know you are too. Love the positive attitude, but paaaaaalease!!

 

[HammerB08]

It's difficult to remember after last year that things can go wrong for other teams too. We can't assume that each team comes in at full strength without key injuries or that they'll fully prepared to get up for and deal with the new style of play UCF is implementing. Stuff happens. 8 of the 12 games are played in the state of FL. The juice will be back in BHNS as long as the team is playing competitive football again and UCF is not traditionally easy to beat in BHNS when fielding a competitive team.

I think we win SC St.; @FIU; @ECU; Tulane; and Tulsa.

At least a look at upsetting and can pick off one or two out of Maryland; Temple; @UCONN; Cincy; and @USF.

 

[KnightLife1]

In addition to some incoming potentially impact freshmen, what many may not realize is that we have 8-10 absolute studs who are either sophomores and redshirt freshmen who saw little if any action last year, but have the promise of being impact players this year. This translates to 4 or 5 on both sides of the ball. They were stuck behind upperclassmen in GOL's heavy reliance on the "class system." They will get their chance this year under Frost's "the best shall play mantra." Even If only half of them perform well this year it can create some game changing impacts.

 

[KnightLife1]

In addition to some incoming potentially impact freshmen, what many may not realize is that we have 8-10 absolute studs who are either sophomores and redshirt freshmen who saw little if any action last year, but have the promise of being impact players this year. This translates to 4 or 5 on both sides of the ball. They were stuck behind upperclassmen in GOL's heavy reliance on the "class system." They will get their chance this year under Frost's "the best shall play mantra." Even If only half of them perform well this year it can create some game changing impacts.

Sorry, math correction... that 8-10 estimate includes impact freshmen, along with impact returning players referenced.

 

[jetsaholic]

1. FCS
2. FIU
3. Tulane
4. Tulsa ?

5. Maryland
6. ezu
7. (Maybe) us(i)f

 

[Knight_Light]

Alright, which games are you super confident as wins.

1. FCS
2. FIU
3. Tulane
4. Tulsa ?

The unknown is killing me, no idea what to but its hard to be excited after last season.

I'll be at the FIU game but other than that. I'm not planning to go to any more yet.

UCF has almost all of their toughest games on the road...something the new offense and new defense will probably struggle with a bit:

@ Michigan
@ FIU
@ ECU
@ UCONN
@ Houston
@ USF

UCF will probably be a double-digit road dog in all of the above games except FIU.

UCF Home Games (and most of the best chance to win games)

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE (Div I-AA)
MARYLAND
TULANE
TEMPLE
CINCINNATI
TULSA

SCS and Tulane should be the best chance at W's...while Temple and maybe Tulsa could be toss-ups...with Cinci and Maryland being the toughest home contests.

 

[Ucfmikes]

It's difficult to remember after last year that things can go wrong for other teams too. We can't assume that each team comes in at full strength without key injuries or that they'll fully prepared to get up for and deal with the new style of play UCF is implementing. Stuff happens. 8 of the 12 games are played in the state of FL. The juice will be back in BHNS as long as the team is playing competitive football again and UCF is not traditionally easy to beat in BHNS when fielding a competitive team.

I think we win SC St.; @FIU; @ECU; Tulane; and Tulsa.

At least a look at upsetting and can pick off one or two out of Maryland; Temple; @UCONN; Cincy; and USF.

I agree. Lots of variables. However a lot of people are downplaying Tulsa and ECU on the road is never easy. Also, we alway pencil in FIU as a win and get burned.

 

[firm_bizzle]

Ugh. I'm a huge fan and I know you are too. Love the positive attitude, but paaaaaalease!!

This is an objective number from the Rivals team recruiting ranking over the past 4 years and the amount of money that we are paying out coaches. Both are at the top of the AAC.

 

[ucfversusbcs]

I see us winning against South Carolina State. Otherwise its not looking good.
Michigan, FIU, Maryland, Temple, UConn, Houston, Cincy, Tulsa will be easy losses.
There's a possibility if Holman returns to his 2014 year, we can steal a win from UConn or Tulsa.
As for the rest, all of the remaining games will feature new coaches and the others are rivalry games so anything is possible.
I'd like to think anything is possible against a new Maryland coaching staff but their talent at the recruiting level is too much.

One win at worse. With a returning Justin Holman looking to improve - four to six maybe seven wins.

 

[Knight_Classes_begin_7pm]

6 wins....don't get me wrong but not gunna happen unless the stars align (keeping myself grounded here)

I've been around UCF football too long!