Inside look at UCF Hoop Players Conf Game vs Non-Conf Game Stats

[Knight_Light]

Who is improving? Who's stats are dropping?

Here's a few that are trending:

AJ Davis
Pts per game
Non-conf play: 12.2 pts per game
Conf Games: 16.8 pts per game

3 pt shooting
Non conf play: 15%
Conf Play: 31%

FG Shooting %
Non-conf games: 46.4%
Conf Games: 41.3%

Made FT's per game (Shooting 86% for the season)
Non-conf games: 3.7 make FT's per game
Conf games: 8.4 made FT's per game

Fouled out
Non-conf play: 3 times
Conf Play: 0 times

Justin McBride
Pts per game
Non-conf play: 5.5 pts per game
Conf Games: 11.4 pts per game

Mins played
Non-conf play: 9.1 mins per game
Conf Games: 20.8 mins per game

FT Shooting %
Non-conf play: 87.5%
Conf Games: 36% (longer/tiring stretches of PT seems to have impacted his FT %)

Shaheed Davis
Pts per game
Non-conf play: 10.7 pts per game
Conf Games: 5.2 pts per game

Mins played
Non-conf play: 27.5 mins per game
Conf Games: 11.0 mins per game

FG Shooting %
Non-conf play: 44.6%
Conf Games: 56%

3 pt Shooting %
Non-conf play: 33%
Conf Games: 56%

Chance McSpadden
Pts per game
Non-conf play: 6.0 pts per game
Conf Games 6.0 pts per game

Mins played
Non-conf games: 18.5 mins per game
Conf Games: 13.0 mins per game

FG Shooting %
Non-conf games: 46%
Conf Games: 67%

3 pt Shooting %
Non-conf games: 30%
Conf Games: 60%

Good trends for 2 former starters (Shaheed Davis and McSpadden), who in less mins per game, are shooting at a much higher %, especially from downtown...as their shot selection has improved...which is usually the opposite when former starters get benched as many try to force up as many shots as possible.

Tacko Fall
Pts per game
Non-conf games: 8.9 pts per game
Conf games: 6.0 pts per game

FG Shooting %
Non-conf games: 75%
Conf Games: 69%

FT Shooting %
Non-conf games: 50%
Conf Games: 73%

Matt Williams
Pts per game:
Non-conf games: 6.5 pts per game
Conf Games: 8.0 pts per game

FG Shooting %
Non-conf games: 35%
Conf Games: 45%

3 pt Shooting %
Non-conf games: 34%
Conf Games: 46%

Mins per game:
Non-conf games: 18.8 mins per game
Conf Games: 29.8 mins per game

Matt is taking less shots per min played in conf play but he is taking better selections (hence his improvement in shooting %).

 

[Knight_Classes_begin_7pm]

THX for the stats. Donnie has got to start teaching these guys how to box out (defense). Last night, the reason we won is because USF is such bad shooters. The refs were killing us OMG! Those calls were terrible. Even Dave Lamont was questioning them!

Your thoughts KL?

 

[Central Floridave]

Nice to have Duh*Bulls and Duh*Pirates as conference bottom feeders to help pad our stats! LOL.

 

[Knight_Light]

THX for the stats. Donnie has got to start teaching these guys how to box out (defense). Last night, the reason we won is because USF is such bad shooters. The refs were killing us OMG! Those calls were terrible. Even Dave Lamont was questioning them!

Your thoughts KL?

UCF is #2 in conf play in rebound plus margin....and I noticed you didn't make a post after UCF outrebounded ECU by 21 the other day. Why? Because UCF did a great job boxing out under the boards?

Yesterday, rebounds between the teams were even (40 each)...but since USF shot sooo bad, that lead to a lot more offensive rebound opportunities.

McBride and Fall will always be challenged by quicker players...but I can't fault them when some shots were missed so bad (few missed the rim) that it leads to a few extra offensive rebounds.

I disagreed with McBride's offensive foul called when all he did was turn his back to the hoop (didn't even lean into player), and Fall's hook foul along the baseline is rarely ever called...but liked Fall's aggressiveness on that play.

 

[KNIGHTTIME^]

Real time rpi only has us winning 2 games the rest of the season with 12-17 record. I know we have a bunch of tough games getting to .500 would be a great step forward coming into 2016-17.

 

[hemightbejeremy]

Real time rpi only has us winning 2 games the rest of the season with 12-17 record. I know we have a bunch of tough games getting to .500 would be a great step forward coming into 2016-17.

I don't think their win projection takes into account percent chance to win a game. It seems too black and white. They project we win 2 more games, but in addition also project that we lose by 1 at home to Memphis, by 6 at home to UConn, by 3 @Tulane, by 6 at home to Cincinnati, by 2 at home to Tulsa, and by 1 at home to Houston. So 6 games they are predicting we lose by 6 points or less but I wouldn't project that we win 0 of those. If you look at the probabilities of winning we probably take 2 or 3 of those in addition to the 2 other wins.I think 15-14 or 14-15 is more likely,