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Is Donald going to make a Comeback?

The sad thing is that we're still months away from President Biden's mask mandate, one that should have been put in place eight months ago.
No.. the sad thing is that there basically has been a mask mandate (where have you been?) and people are still spreading this disease that kills an extremely small fraction of the population. Joe Biden isn’t going to do a damn thing differently, because he can’t. The only thing that he can do is shut down everything again and create riots. Kill the economy as we still spread this at a slightly lower rate. Seen that game before
 
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No.. the sad thing is that there basically has been a mask mandate (where have you been?) and people are still spreading this disease that kills an extremely small fraction of the population. Joe Biden isn’t going to do a damn thing differently, because he can’t. The only thing that he can do is shut down everything again and create riots. Kill the economy as we still spread this at a slightly lower rate. Seen that game before
Personally, I like Bidens plan. Follow the science and shut down the virus. ITS THAT SIMPLE!
 
Personally, I like Bidens plan. Follow the science and shut down the virus. ITS THAT SIMPLE!
It’s a great plan if there weren’t human beings involved in it. Or if everyone was a billionaire with a a Walmart in their basements in Lincoln, Nebraska like Shucky
 
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It’s a great plan if there weren’t human being involved in it. Or if everyone was a billionaire with a a Walmart in their basements in Lincoln, Nebraska like Shucky
Bidens plan means you won't have to have a Walmart in your basement. He's going to shut the virus down. And replace all of the HVAC equipment in schools. Its a 1-2 combo the likes we haven't seen since Cassius Clay.
 
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I'm not into celebrity porn, real or fake. I gotta give Russia credit for giving it the 'good ole college try' though.

Thank God, this kind of filth will be over in another week.

notice he didn't say he was against porn featuring underage girls

pedophiles like you will hopefully be the first to go
 
We sure as hell have it covered here.

Let me guess: It's a crying shame nobody outside your nutjob right wing bubble is listening to this bullshit, right? :)
What's funny is how your team insists that police and Government in general are corrupt, but the FBI that handles these matters with politicans and their family are somehow a deity that can do no wrong.

I'll remember this next time you're crying about some dead Dindu Nuffin video, which I'm sure we'll get another of seeing as they're culturally incapable of dealing with police like civilized people.
 
When 9 days out, Trump is telling his rallies "Covid, Covid, Covid!!! That's all the MSM talk about. But on November 4th, it'll magically disappear", you know it's over.

Hell, Pence's COS caught the virus over the weekend, and the Veep is STILL out campaigning instead of following the covid protocols and quarantining -- And HE is the head of the Covid 19 task force for crying out loud. Way to lead by example there, Pence!!! These jokers literally have no clue.

The sad thing is that we're still months away from President Biden's mask mandate, one that should have been put in place eight months ago.
Will be gone by next Wednesday.
 
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No.. the sad thing is that there basically has been a mask mandate (where have you been?)
Where have YOU been? What mask mandate? In places where civic leaders have tried to implement mask mandates, it gets offset by governors saying “I suppose you can wear masks if you want to” and the head of the covid-19 task force saying self-serving bullshit like “the American People don’t give up their fundamental rights during a pandemic” (yeah, Pence, we can require seat belts but masks cross the line.)

And for the umteenth time, mandating mask wearing is not a lockdown. Countries have been successful with strict lockdowns but no one is suggesting that here. But I’m sure a national mask mandate will be enough for some folks to call for Civil War! Give Me an Uncovered Mouth or Give Me Death!
 
Going into the final week of the campaign, you'd assume the keys were Pennsylvania and Florida. But the latest polls have Biden leading Trump in TEXAS and GEORGIA!!!

I'll believe it when I see it but a Biden win in either of those two traditional red states and you've got the fat lady singing early next Tuesday in a blow out.
 
Going into the final week of the campaign, you'd assume the keys were Pennsylvania and Florida. But the latest polls have Biden leading Trump in TEXAS and GEORGIA!!!

I'll believe it when I see it but a Biden win in either of those two traditional red states and you've got the fat lady singing early next Tuesday in a blow out.
Doesn't that make you question the polls? Like Trump only being at 51% in South Dakota. There's no way that's real.
 
Going into the final week of the campaign, you'd assume the keys were Pennsylvania and Florida. But the latest polls have Biden leading Trump in TEXAS and GEORGIA!!!

I'll believe it when I see it but a Biden win in either of those two traditional red states and you've got the fat lady singing early next Tuesday in a blow out.
Florida Texas Georgia North Carolina Arizona are all meaningless to Joe. Sure if he wins one great and it's over but he doesn't need any of those states to win.

This entire election is decided by Michigan Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
 
Florida Texas Georgia North Carolina Arizona are all meaningless to Joe. Sure if he wins one great and it's over but he doesn't need any of those states to win.

This entire election is decided by Michigan Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Outside of the 3 states I mentioned I would say Virginia would be next closest to flip and have Trump win but that's unlikely. If Biden wins those 3, where he is well ahead, it's over.
bpJN6
 
Florida Texas Georgia North Carolina Arizona are all meaningless to Joe. Sure if he wins one great and it's over but he doesn't need any of those states to win.

This entire election is decided by Michigan Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Wisconsin is going to biden. Pennsylvania, Minnesota, and Michigan are the only real battleground states.
 
Doesn't that make you question the polls? Like Trump only being at 51% in South Dakota. There's no way that's real.
With early voting, it's become increasingly predictable where the race stands. The Republicans are going to have to bank on a tremendous election day turnout to come close to matching the vote Biden already has in the ballot box in most states.

You are on record here as saying you think Trump will win. That's fine. We'll find out next week if you were right.
 
With early voting, it's become increasingly predictable where the race stands. The Republicans are going to have to bank on a tremendous election day turnout to come close to matching the vote Biden already has in the ballot box in most states.

You are on record here as saying you think Trump will win. That's fine. We'll find out next week if you were right.
Early voting doesn't tell us anything in this cycle other than people are taking advantage of it more than they usually would. With Covid, it's not surprising that more people are voting early. If I were to guess, I'd say probably 60-65% has gone to biden nationally. I'm not sure that it matters because the swing state reporting shows it being close to 50-50 between Republicans and democrats.
 
Early voting doesn't tell us anything in this cycle other than people are taking advantage of it more than they usually would. With Covid, it's not surprising that more people are voting early. If I were to guess, I'd say probably 60-65% has gone to biden nationally. I'm not sure that it matters because the swing state reporting shows it being close to 50-50 between Republicans and democrats.

It's not 50/50 in the swing states. The early vote is overwhelmingly Biden, and the "I haven't voted yet" group is overwhelmingly Trump. The polling data could be way off and this would still be true. The spreads here are remarkable.

Trump is going to go into election day way down, and he's going to significantly close the gap. The same will be true for down ballot Republicans in tight races.

See these results below from YouGov polls in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania:


 
It's not 50/50 in the swing states. The early vote is overwhelmingly Biden, and the "I haven't voted yet" group is overwhelmingly Trump. The polling data could be way off and this would still be true. The spreads here are remarkable.

Trump is going to go into election day way down, and he's going to significantly close the gap. The same will be true for down ballot Republicans in tight races.

What this also means is Biden has a far lower down side risk as each day passes. Imagine an election destined for a perfect 50/50 tie when equally damaging stories break against each candidate right before election day, causing 2% of their supporters to stay home. That would effect Trump far more than Biden. A passive Trump supporter could even switch to Biden, but a ballot already cast can't be changed.
 
Where have YOU been? What mask mandate? In places where civic leaders have tried to implement mask mandates, it gets offset by governors saying “I suppose you can wear masks if you want to” and the head of the covid-19 task force saying self-serving bullshit like “the American People don’t give up their fundamental rights during a pandemic” (yeah, Pence, we can require seat belts but masks cross the line.)

And for the umteenth time, mandating mask wearing is not a lockdown. Countries have been successful with strict lockdowns but no one is suggesting that here. But I’m sure a national mask mandate will be enough for some folks to call for Civil War! Give Me an Uncovered Mouth or Give Me Death!
Mask mandates aren’t enforceable. We have already seen that in areas that have had them. Yes, wake up, they have existed. Won’t work anyway without a lockdown. For the thousandth time. Where have YOU BEEN?
 
It's not 50/50 in the swing states. The early vote is overwhelmingly Biden, and the "I haven't voted yet" group is overwhelmingly Trump. The polling data could be way off and this would still be true. The spreads here are remarkable.

Trump is going to go into election day way down, and he's going to significantly close the gap. The same will be true for down ballot Republicans in tight races.

See these results below from YouGov polls in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania:


You can't really believe that Biden has a 79 point advantage in Pennsylvania. That equates to a 20 point Biden victory if true, which is basically impossible.
 
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You can't really believe that Biden has a 79 point advantage in Pennsylvania. That equates to a 20 point Biden victory if true, which is basically impossible.
No it doesn't. Moments like this give me hope that I'm not interacting with a representative portion of the population but rather people who can't do basic math.
 
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You can't really believe that Biden has a 79 point advantage in Pennsylvania. That equates to a 20 point Biden victory if true, which is basically impossible.

No I don't believe any one poll is correct. But they're not getting results like that if the actual numbers are close to 50/50 so far.

But that Pennsylvania number actually isn't too crazy if the flip side is correct (60% of people who haven't voted yet are voting Trump). The Elections Project has Penn at ~28% of 2016 turnout so far. If you just apply those numbers to 100% turnout Biden is only up by ~7% at the end. As turnout increases beyond 2016, that spread shrinks and matches the polling averages pretty well with 105%/110% 2016 turnout.
 
No, trump can't even sit for a 60 minute interview without storming out like a whiny little bitch.

I don't think he's making a comeback, at least not among the informed voters.
 
Early voting doesn't tell us anything in this cycle other than people are taking advantage of it more than they usually would.
They announced on the evening news tonight that the State of Texas has already reached 85% of its total vote from 2016 -- and this is 8 days before election day!

If you think that's not telling us something, I think you're in for a bit of a surprise.
 
They announced on the evening news tonight that the State of Texas has already reached 85% of its total vote from 2016 -- and this is 8 days before election day!

If you think that's not telling us something, I think you're in for a bit of a surprise.
Isn't it weird how just basic news that more people are voting is a bad sign for republicans?

If your side panics when people practice democracy you might be on the side of fascism.
 
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Drama much? How about why are democratic voters so unreliable? Lazy demographic?

Why say something so stupid? You consistently vomit this stupid "lazy" line.

Generalizing a demographic of people (calling them lazy) based solely on their party affiliation is incredibly lazy thinking. Did you consider that maybe people choose not to mobilize for people they aren't necessarily inspired by instead of just blindly akways voting the party line? Grow up.
 
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Drama much? How about why are democratic voters so unreliable? Lazy demographic?

It's really important to put historical perspective on this. As different groups gained the right to vote over time, the existing power structure did whatever they could to make it harder for them to vote. The reason felons were stripped of voting rights was to systematically deny voting rights to blacks. Make it a felony to jaywalk, then go arrests blacks who jaywalk. That's the original purpose of those laws. Selective enforcement enabled you to impact the electorate. Poll taxes, poll tests, etc were all efforts to marginalize voters.

As those things became harder to do, tactics shifted. One primary narrative is to convince people their vote doesn't matter or wont' count. Convince them the system is rigged anyway so why bother?

Making it harder for people to vote, and working to discourage voting, is a tool for those in power to remain in power. It's not a republican/democrat thing - that changes with the decade and by the locality.
 
No I don't believe any one poll is correct. But they're not getting results like that if the actual numbers are close to 50/50 so far.

But that Pennsylvania number actually isn't too crazy if the flip side is correct (60% of people who haven't voted yet are voting Trump). The Elections Project has Penn at ~28% of 2016 turnout so far. If you just apply those numbers to 100% turnout Biden is only up by ~7% at the end. As turnout increases beyond 2016, that spread shrinks and matches the polling averages pretty well with 105%/110% 2016 turnout.
Better look at the first poll you shared. It shows an advantage for Biden in those that haven't voted as well.
 
No it doesn't. Moments like this give me hope that I'm not interacting with a representative portion of the population but rather people who can't do basic math.
I stand corrected, you are correct that my math is off. 79% of those that have already voted plus 21% of those who haven't voted means it will be more like a 30 point Biden victory.
 
Better look at the first poll you shared. It shows an advantage for Biden in those that haven't voted as well.

You're right! I didn't catch that and read it the other way. Pretty sure it's a typo and that should be flipped.
 
I stand corrected, you are correct that my math is off. 79% of those that have already voted plus 21% of those who haven't voted means it will be more like a 30 point Biden victory.
The YouGov poll has Biden around +7, so consistent with a typo.

Point still stands - no evidence in polling data I've seen that Biden isn't clobbering Trump with the early vote, and that Trump is going to clobber Biden on election day.
 
I stand corrected, you are correct that my math is off. 79% of those that have already voted plus 21% of those who haven't voted means it will be more like a 30 point Biden victory.
You don't know how many people are going to vote.
 
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