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Season Outlook (with Projection on record)

UCF 10 Georgia 6

Four-Star Recruit
Aug 27, 2011
358
56
28
FIU- W (90%) - As long as we don't come out really flat I don't see us losing this at home

@Stanford- L (25%) - Most difficult game of the season. Stanford always has a massive offensive and defensive line. They also have Kevin Hogan at QB. This would be a big upset.

Furman- W (98%) - I don't see a situation where we lose this game.

@South Carolina-L (40%) - This is a very winnable game. South Carolina lost their QB Thompson and RB Mike Davis as well as star lineman AJ Cann. This team also had a weak defense last year letting up 30+ a game. Once again it comes down to the trenches and I'm not too high on our O-Line. If we can solve that issue this will be one hell of a game.

@Tulane-W (65%) - We should win this game. However, any time UCF is on the road there's always that risk we come out flat (like most teams). Tulane isn't a pushover any more.

UCONN-W (75%) - Revenge game. If we don't blow these guys out I'll be disappointed. This team wasn't good at all last year. Weather was a factor but we shouldn't need to use excuses against 2-10 UCONN. This will be their "Super Bowl" too according to Bob Diaco.

@Temple-W (60%) - This game should be a challenge. Temple is a respectable program. PJ Walker has a lot of potential, but he was pretty underwhelming last year. Come out firing right off the bat and we win this game.

Houston-W (55%) - Houston always plays us tough. 2 years straight they've taken us right down to the final play. I give us the edge because we are at home.

@Cincy-L (45%) - Game of the year for us. The winner most likely wins the AAC East. I love how we came out against ECU last season with the conference on the line on the road. Hopefully we put together a great game plan for this one.

@Tulsa-W (80%) - Should be a fairly easy win. They have new coach who is pretty solid though.

ECU-W (60%) - This is one of the weaker ECU teams we will face. They lost Shane Carden, Justin Hardy, and some other key players. We have also lost people ourselves though. I give us the advantage at home.

USF-W (65%) - Must win game. We have so much momentum against USF right now. We can't afford a setback.

Projected Record- 9-3
Most Likely record (given an annual upset)- 8-4
Best Case- 10-2
Worst Case- 6-6

What does everyone else think?
 
I'll say.....


FIU- W (95%) - UCF will ground and pound

@Stanford- L (10%) - Won't be able to stop them defensively. Their lines outplay us

Furman- W (100%) - we wouldn't lose this game with Pete DiNovo at QB

@South Carolina-L (15%) - Everyone saying South Carolina is down has me worried. They still have SEC talent and Steve Spurrier. Long shot but better chance than Stanford.

@Tulane-W (80%) - We have way more athletes than Tulane. We start conference play off right.

UCONN-W (85%) - OLeary won't let us lose this one.

@Temple-L (50%) - This will be a pickem game. UCF usually plays 1 disappointing game per year. I think this is the one.

Houston-W (60%) - Another tough game vs Houston that UCF wins by 3-7 points.

@Cincy-L (20%) - cool weather and vs best QB in conference. I don't feel good about it but we did beat Louisville on their homecoming.

@Tulsa-W (80%) - UCF should when this one but who knows how their new coach performs

ECU-W (75%) - I expect this to be an easy win as we finally get to show ECU fans where we are as a program.

USF-W (75%) - O'Leary vs. Taggart. No brainer.
 
South Carolina has Georgia the week before us and Mizzou the week after us. Not saying we are going to win, but the schedule sets up nicely for us. Maybe a little banged up after Georgia, thinking ahead to Mizzou. Anything can happen.
 
FIU- W
@Stanford- L
Furman- W
@South Carolina-W
@Tulane-W
UCONN-W
@Temple-W
Houston-W
@Cincy-L
@Tulsa-W
ECU-W
USF-W

My guess: 10-2
 
2 very interesting conf road games:

at Tulane: The Greenwave held UCF to just 233 yds in the 20-13 UCF win at BHNS last season...as UCF averaged just 2.5 yards per carry and Hollman did not have a good game (9-17, 113 yds, 1 TD and 2 INT's).

Tulane's HC (former Saints Asst Coach) is now entering his 4th season and has been focusing much more on local talent as their new on-campus stadium (finally got out of the SuperDome, which hurt Tulane's recruiting in the past when only 5,000 fans would show up in that giant structure), seems to have finally turned the corner.

Run the ball, win the turnover battle...leave New Orleans with a W.

at Tulsa: UCF has never won at Tulsa (heck a UCF lead Blake Bortles team lost 2 games there, regular season and conf championship game in 2012 alone), so nothing can be taken for granted.
 
Im thinking 8-4 or 9-3 with losses to Cincy, Stanford, South Carolina. I see a possible upset loss to Tulsa or Houston/ECU at home. Maybe we finally breakthrough and get a win on the road against USCe after all those close losses.

Since the Big 12 wont be quick to expand this year i say its a nice building block to next year.
 
FIU- W (90%) - As long as we don't come out really flat I don't see us losing this at home

@Stanford- L (25%) - Most difficult game of the season. Stanford always has a massive offensive and defensive line. They also have Kevin Hogan at QB. This would be a big upset.

Furman- W (98%) - I don't see a situation where we lose this game.

@South Carolina-L (40%) - This is a very winnable game. South Carolina lost their QB Thompson and RB Mike Davis as well as star lineman AJ Cann. This team also had a weak defense last year letting up 30+ a game. Once again it comes down to the trenches and I'm not too high on our O-Line. If we can solve that issue this will be one hell of a game.

@Tulane-W (65%) - We should win this game. However, any time UCF is on the road there's always that risk we come out flat (like most teams). Tulane isn't a pushover any more.

UCONN-W (75%) - Revenge game. If we don't blow these guys out I'll be disappointed. This team wasn't good at all last year. Weather was a factor but we shouldn't need to use excuses against 2-10 UCONN. This will be their "Super Bowl" too according to Bob Diaco.

@Temple-W (60%) - This game should be a challenge. Temple is a respectable program. PJ Walker has a lot of potential, but he was pretty underwhelming last year. Come out firing right off the bat and we win this game.

Houston-W (55%) - Houston always plays us tough. 2 years straight they've taken us right down to the final play. I give us the edge because we are at home.

@Cincy-L (45%) - Game of the year for us. The winner most likely wins the AAC East. I love how we came out against ECU last season with the conference on the line on the road. Hopefully we put together a great game plan for this one.

@Tulsa-W (80%) - Should be a fairly easy win. They have new coach who is pretty solid though.

ECU-W (60%) - This is one of the weaker ECU teams we will face. They lost Shane Carden, Justin Hardy, and some other key players. We have also lost people ourselves though. I give us the advantage at home.

USF-W (65%) - Must win game. We have so much momentum against USF right now. We can't afford a setback.

Projected Record- 9-3
Most Likely record (given an annual upset)- 8-4
Best Case- 10-2
Worst Case- 6-6

What does everyone else think?
I agree. No bowl at 6-6 correct?
 
FIU- W (90%) - As long as we don't come out really flat I don't see us losing this at home

@Stanford- L (25%) - Most difficult game of the season. Stanford always has a massive offensive and defensive line. They also have Kevin Hogan at QB. This would be a big upset.

Furman- W (98%) - I don't see a situation where we lose this game.

@South Carolina-L (40%) - This is a very winnable game. South Carolina lost their QB Thompson and RB Mike Davis as well as star lineman AJ Cann. This team also had a weak defense last year letting up 30+ a game. Once again it comes down to the trenches and I'm not too high on our O-Line. If we can solve that issue this will be one hell of a game.

@Tulane-W (65%) - We should win this game. However, any time UCF is on the road there's always that risk we come out flat (like most teams). Tulane isn't a pushover any more.

UCONN-W (75%) - Revenge game. If we don't blow these guys out I'll be disappointed. This team wasn't good at all last year. Weather was a factor but we shouldn't need to use excuses against 2-10 UCONN. This will be their "Super Bowl" too according to Bob Diaco.

@Temple-W (60%) - This game should be a challenge. Temple is a respectable program. PJ Walker has a lot of potential, but he was pretty underwhelming last year. Come out firing right off the bat and we win this game.

Houston-W (55%) - Houston always plays us tough. 2 years straight they've taken us right down to the final play. I give us the edge because we are at home.

@Cincy-L (45%) - Game of the year for us. The winner most likely wins the AAC East. I love how we came out against ECU last season with the conference on the line on the road. Hopefully we put together a great game plan for this one.

@Tulsa-W (80%) - Should be a fairly easy win. They have new coach who is pretty solid though.

ECU-W (60%) - This is one of the weaker ECU teams we will face. They lost Shane Carden, Justin Hardy, and some other key players. We have also lost people ourselves though. I give us the advantage at home.

USF-W (65%) - Must win game. We have so much momentum against USF right now. We can't afford a setback.

Projected Record- 9-3
Most Likely record (given an annual upset)- 8-4
Best Case- 10-2
Worst Case- 6-6

What does everyone else think?
Every year GOL places a number in his office desk draw
that contains the number of wins on it.

Last year he had 10 wins on it and we lost to UCONN.
This year, I'm going with his number which I would bet is 10 again.

I'm looking forward to UCF / Memphis Conference Championship game.
I'll drive to Memphis if needed to see it :)
 
I think we're beating South Carolina. I simply think that by week 4 we will be better than them. Just have to handle the away crowd. Lots of my buddies are USC fans. Would love to rub it in their faces after they came down in 2013. After that game, they were very arrogant and said that we were no better than Vanderbilt.
 
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FIU- W (70%)

@Stanford- L (5%)

Furman- W (95%)

@South Carolina-L (25%)

@Tulane-W (65%)

UCONN-W (75%)

@Temple-W (50%)

Houston- L (50%) I say we drop one of either UH or Temple.

@Cincy-L (35%)

@Tulsa-W (75%)

ECU-W (55%)

USF-W (60%)

Projected Record- 8-4
Best Case- 9-3
Worst Case- 6-6
 
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