I saw Clay Travis tweet this out earlier and failed to get the point of the article. The original #s were based on a worst case scenario. The #s now are different because of the approaches we have taken. This is stated in the article.
He said that expected increases in National Health Service capacity and ongoing restrictions to people’s movements make him “reasonably confident” the health service can cope when the predicted peak of the epidemic arrives in two or three weeks. UK deaths from the disease are now unlikely to exceed 20,000, he said, and could be much lower.
That is the 3rd paragraph of the article that for some reason people are overlooking.
This never made sense even on a “worst case@ scenario. It would make this 80x more deadly than the flu. No doctor would ever agree with that.