Nice write-up and info! I am going to add my conference prediction.
I am hoping that we improve greatly this year. I feel that we are a much better team then last year and we have a lot of pieces but we don't have everything yet. I think we are missing a strong post player. I hope Staphon Blair steps up his game as a senior this year. I like Blair but we really need him to produce more than last year (7.8pts, 5.2rebs and 1.3blks). I think the 5 spot is the only missing piece. It would be amazing if he had a season like Keith Clanton's senior year 14.8pts, 8.5rebs, 2.5ast, and 2.0blks.
The AAC looks much stronger this coming year and there are 4 teams that are pushing to be the champs. I don't think we will beat SMU and UConn this year (we COULD win and we can play with them, I just think they come out with the win). Those are the top 2 teams this year and they will be pushing for the AAC crown.
1. SMU (Nic Moore, Markus Kennedy, and transfers)
2. UConn (Amida Brimah, Rodney Purvis, and transfer Sterling Gibbs)
the next two teams are the "sleepers"
3. Tulsa (returns all starters and was 14-4 in conference last year... not much of a sleeper)
4. Cincinnati (all starters return but not much offensive firepower as nobody scored more than 10.0 points last year. But yes, their D is suffocating!)
I think UCF falls into the next group with Memphis (who fell from the top-4), Temple, ECU, and Houston.
5. UCF (best case scenario (that is realistic) is that we finish 5th and the AAC has 5 bids putting us in the tourney)
6. Memphis (some think they are lower than this because of all the transfer losses but they still have talent and recruiting)
**7. Houston (I'm scared of them because they have "good" talent like us and have all the pieces in place)
8. Temple (I am lower on them than most because I feel that they lost a lot in Cummings and Morgan)
9. ECU (they have their returning 5 with their star player who was on the AAC freshman team. They have 3 returning players who scored more than 12 points, only team in conference that has that)
The next group is Tulane, USF, and do I include Navy?
10. Tulane (lose a lot and don't return much)
11. USF ( they have a lot of unknowns and could improve a lot because of all the youth but they lose their top 2 players)
12. Navy 13-19 (8-10 in conference) and played in the Patriot Conference (23rd of 33 conferences). Their top 2 players graduated.)
Last year we beat Houston both times (by a combined score of 3) but they have a solid starting 5.
Here is Houston's lineup,
PG- LJ Rose (6'4) 9.8pts, 2.5rebs, 5.3ast
SG- Jherrod Stiggers (6'5) 14.2pts, 3.6rebs, 2.5ast
SF- Leron Barnes (6'6) 7.4pts, 6.4 rebs, 1.3ast
PF- Devanta Pollard (6'8) 11.4pts, 6.4rebs, 1.2ast
C- Danrad Knowles (6'10) 9.9pts, 5.6rebs, 1.3blks
Compared to our lineup,
PG- BJ Taylor (6'2) 12.8pts, 3.0rebs, 2.5ast
SG- Matt Williams (6'5) 6.0pts, 2.4rebs, .9ast (sophomore season stats)
SF- Adonys Henriquez (6'6) 10.8pts, 3.3rebs, 2.1ast
PF- AJ Davis (6'9) or Tanksley Efianayi (6'6)
C- Staphon Blair (6'9) 7.8pts, 5.2rebs, 1.3blks
I would guess that we have a deeper bench with Tanksley Efianayi , Daiquan Walker, Shaheed Davis and Justin McBride all getting meaningful minutes (they all averaged more than 13 minutes last year- besides Tank).
Our recruiting class is much better than Houston too... I would even say it's better than our previous year with BJ and Adonys
Tanksley averaged 20.3 pts and 5.6 rebs (against "college" players)
Chad Brown 14.7pts, 15rebs, 9.4blks (That's crazy athletic!!)
Tacko Fall 20pts, 15rebs, 5blks (only his 2nd season playing)
Chance McSpadden 24.4pts, 6rebs (lots of points!)
**At the end of this I noticed/forgot that Jherrod Stiggers (Houston) declared early for the draft and is ineligible to play, so I would put Houston at 8 and Temple at 7.