Our situ is a little bit different than UCONN but I will use it as a model. They had 2 yrs to forgo payouts to help soften the blow up front.
Regarding UCF, Houston, and Cincy....Delays in negotiations due to various reasons (UT/OU dates to depart to the SEC) will impact our costs to leave. If we're lucky, we get resolution this summer, plan on departing 1JUL23, and the AAC will withold yr of earnings (~$7M). IMO, we get out of the American ASAP. Assuming a negiotiated $19M exit fee (something equitable to UCONNs settlement adding in 2/3yrs of inflation - thanks Biden), we'll be in the hole $12M. Again, stretch this out similiar to what UCONN did, lets say $2M/yr for 6 yrs isn't too bad assuming our payout from the Big12 gets significantly better at the 4-5yr mark. $19M/14 football playing teams, assuming no admin fees (Aresco makes almost $2M/yr - he and his cronies may decide to take a piece) and a (1/10) like distribution (new members will not get an equal footing), USF will only be walking away w/an added ~$2M from UCF. Assuming USF gets 3x, factoring in inflation and continued rise of raw construction costs...That is a drop in a bucket funding your Taj Mahal type stadium, not to mention it will be stretched over 7 yrs.