BYU -1.5 PTS
I actually like UCF here straight up.
UCF 20
BYU 17
I actually like UCF here straight up.
UCF 20
BYU 17
BYU @ UCF: 3:30pm ESPN
- Thread starter PositYourself
- Start date
My Hard Rock App says UCF -1.5 this morning.
If anything I want a win for revenge for that crappy boca bowl.
If anything I want a win for revenge for that crappy boca bowl.
I'm trying to forget. A win on Saturday will help!
• 11h • 3 min read
Link: https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/other/no-11-byu-out-to-shore-up-run-defense-vs-ucf/ar-AA1sMr5V
No. 11 BYU out to shore up run defense vs. UCF
Story by Field Level Media• 11h • 3 min read
Link: https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/other/no-11-byu-out-to-shore-up-run-defense-vs-ucf/ar-AA1sMr5V
Did Oklahoma State reveal weakness in BYU defense?
Story by Dick Harmon• 8h • 5 min read
Link: https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/other/did-oklahoma-state-reveal-weakness-in-byu-defense/ar-AA1sNcEO
UCF Knights football: 3 things to watch against undefeated No. 12 BYU Cougars
Chris BoyleDaytona Beach News-Journal
UCF Knights football: 3 things to watch against undefeated No. 12 BYU Cougars
For the second straight Saturday, the UCF Knights will face an undefeated, top-15 team in Big 12 Conference play.
www.news-journalonline.com
Opening Line: UCF -1.5
Blake Schuster: BYU +1.5
Um. Sure? I don’t understand this line. The Cougars should be favored by at least a touchdown.
Mitchell Northam: BYU +1.5
I know UCF is at home, but what exactly has it done to earn points against an undefeated BYU team?
Christian D’Andrea: BYU +1.5
I’m sick of betting against the Cougars, who keep grinding out wins against good, but not great, teams. And UCF is… alright.
Michelle Martinelli: BYU +1.5
Why four-loss UCF is favored against undefeated BYU is beyond me. The Knights have a better offense on paper, and it’s more well-rounded than BYU’s. Give me the Cougars.
Tyler Nettuno: BYU +1.5
The Cougars may not be quite as good as the unbeaten record would tell you, but there’s just not much about this Knights team that I find compelling at the moment. This is a weird spot for BYU to be an underdog.
from this link: https://ftw.usatoday.com/2024/10/co...ek-9-oregon-illinois-notre-dame-navy-michigan
Blake Schuster: BYU +1.5
Um. Sure? I don’t understand this line. The Cougars should be favored by at least a touchdown.
Mitchell Northam: BYU +1.5
I know UCF is at home, but what exactly has it done to earn points against an undefeated BYU team?
Christian D’Andrea: BYU +1.5
I’m sick of betting against the Cougars, who keep grinding out wins against good, but not great, teams. And UCF is… alright.
Michelle Martinelli: BYU +1.5
Why four-loss UCF is favored against undefeated BYU is beyond me. The Knights have a better offense on paper, and it’s more well-rounded than BYU’s. Give me the Cougars.
Tyler Nettuno: BYU +1.5
The Cougars may not be quite as good as the unbeaten record would tell you, but there’s just not much about this Knights team that I find compelling at the moment. This is a weird spot for BYU to be an underdog.
from this link: https://ftw.usatoday.com/2024/10/co...ek-9-oregon-illinois-notre-dame-navy-michigan
I think the assumption is that UCF has to win at some point, they can't be that bad. Something, offensive genius, something.
UCF +1 vs. BYU
The 7-0 Cougars have to be toward the top of the list of 2024 college football surprises in a season that has had many.With that said, I’m not fully buying into this BYU team that has benefited from as much turnover luck as any team in the country.
It’s gone 3-0 in one-possession games and probably should’ve lost at home against a beat-up Oklahoma State team last week, especially if Garret Rangel and Ollie Gordon II don’t get hurt.
Even the blowout wins on the surface were extremely misleading with the two most obvious examples coming against Arizona and Kansas State.
The Cougars won those games by a combined 52 points despite being outgained, 656-630, thanks to a +6 turnover margin, 1-for-7 opponent fourth-down conversion rate and multiple non-offensive scores.
That’s simply not sustainable.
Speaking of unsustainable, quarterback Jake Retzlaff continues to put the ball in harm’s way too frequently, which will eventually come back to bite him harder than it has to date for an offense that grades out below the national average in both Passing and Rushing Success Rate.
However, the biggest mismatch for me comes on the other side of the ball.
UCF features one of the best rushing attacks in the country (top five in both EPA and Success Rate), which should cause major problems for a BYU defense that has really struggled to defend opposing ground games.
That’s especially true when it comes to opponents with mobile quarterbacks, which the Knights certainly have with new starter Jacurri Brown, who ran for 154 yards last week against Iowa State.
He and RJ Harvey should pose major problems for a BYU defense that really struggles to set the edge.
I was really impressed with UCF’s effort in Ames last week in a game it arguably should have won.
Looking back, its three losses prior to that have aged much better than they looked at the time with Florida, Colorado and Cincinnati all trending up.
And keep in mind those all came before UCF made the official quarterback change, which I think makes this team much more dangerous.
Give me the Knights in a coin-flip in the Bounce House, where they have historically thrived in these exact spots.
from Link: https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/ot...s-indiana-illinois-vs-oregon-more/ar-AA1sOE8a
They said the same thing about Colorado's defense and they stopped us. That's why they play the game!
BYU will trot out a bunch of 23 year olds that will knock
Us off both lines. Our skill guys are better but doesn’t matter when lines are obliterated by older guys.
Us off both lines. Our skill guys are better but doesn’t matter when lines are obliterated by older guys.
I've watched BYU twice now. Their defense is really good. Fast and aggressive. I remember they have a linebacker that is all over the place. You want to hate them, but they just good and win games. I read all of this and am amazed that UCF is favored in this game like those other commentaries are above. But, like you said, why they play the game.
Prognosticators are often wrong. Look at Utah...preseason #1 in conference to in the dumps.
Some of you probably want us to lose out, but I'm the opposite. I'm going to support my team.
UCF needs to win 3 out the 5 to become bowl eligible.
Per ESPN Matchup Predictor (percentage to win):
BYU 45.7 UCF 54.3
Arizona 23.4 UCF 76.6
Ariz-State 57.0 UCF 43.0
West Virg 49.1 UCF 50.9
Utah 34.6 UCF 65.4
Best cast scenario we win out. Worst case we lose out.
It starts on Saturday.
Go Knights!
Prognosticators are often wrong. Look at Utah...preseason #1 in conference to in the dumps.
Some of you probably want us to lose out, but I'm the opposite. I'm going to support my team.
UCF needs to win 3 out the 5 to become bowl eligible.
Per ESPN Matchup Predictor (percentage to win):
BYU 45.7 UCF 54.3
Arizona 23.4 UCF 76.6
Ariz-State 57.0 UCF 43.0
West Virg 49.1 UCF 50.9
Utah 34.6 UCF 65.4
Best cast scenario we win out. Worst case we lose out.
It starts on Saturday.
Go Knights!
