ESPN Around the Horn - All four hosts agreed - UCF in over Michigan in dream scenario of at least 3 ahead of us losing.
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ESPN Around the Horn - Unanimous - UCF in over Michigan in dream scenario
- Thread starter Boston.Knight
- Start date
Maybe we need media members on the committee
I said this yesterday and I was shot down!
We win big and the 3 ahead of us lose and we are going to the effing playoffs mofos!!!!
Screw Michigan!! They are out of the top 4. THEY ARE NOT PUTTING A 2 LOSS TEAM IN OVER AN UNDEFEATED UCF!!!
problem here is that the chances of all of those 3 teams losing is probably 1 in 20 to 1 in 100
We have to hit a difficult parlay (looking at you, Northwestern). Not impossible, but damn near it.
Well UCF fans. It looks like our playoff fate very well could be mostly in the hands of a freshman QB named Mack and and a never quitting, overachieving team named Northwestern
Who would have predicted that?
Who would have predicted that?
We'll get 2 out of 3. Getting 3 out of 3 would be like winning the lottery.
According to FiveThirtyEight:
Alabama wins; Clemson, Oklahoma and Ohio State lose.
Chances of happening: 0.2 percent
Good catch. I copied the wrong scenario.
Alabama and Clemson win; Oklahoma and Ohio State lose.
Chances of happening: 4 percent
20x more likely than the one with Clemson loss.
Yes.
Just noticed that. Take them out and actually we have to win as well
Please recalculate
OK, so 1 in 20. I like our chances. Does UCF have the dragon-glass to slay 'Bama? We gonna find out.
Man really all we need is the crappy version of OSU to show up against Northwestern. We'll find out if they can put two good ballgames in a row together or not.
The other two games are very doable. Bama gonna smoke Georgia, and OU is Overrated and very winnable ballgame for Texas. I say 50% chance of happening.
The other two games are very doable. Bama gonna smoke Georgia, and OU is Overrated and very winnable ballgame for Texas. I say 50% chance of happening.
![[cheers]](https://ct.yimg.com/mr/uploads/891/5628.gif "Cheers [cheers]")
Jus the opposite. Clemson might still get in the top 4 with a loss BUT IT MEANS A TEAM WE BEAT JUST BEAT THEM. That is huge.
The crappy or crappier. My heart tells me either one is probably going to show up and the chance may be higher than 50%. CHARGE ON.
Yes, I guess you’re correct. I just didn’t want to add it to the odds, because if they win, then they are in. If they lose, then the other teams ahead of us still have to lose, because we would most likely not jump Clemson IMO and they would still get in over us.
However, if they lose to Pittsburgh, we wil certainly jump everyone else that loses and Idle Michigan even moreso.
If Clemson loses to Pittsburgh, that makes a great argument for anything UCF regardless of what happens
By the way, only if the above scenarios occur and we don’t get in, then I will concur with the conspiracy theory.
I will agree with all who have mentioned that.
I will agree with all who have mentioned that.
I only agree with that if the probability of the previously mentioned scenarios are <1%Logic doesn't always prevail....this is what the cartel says
That chart makes no sense
For instance. Alabama will beat Georgia
If Ohio State or Oklahoma wins, then they are in.
Georgia has much less than a 39% chance of getting in
They are only giving Alabama an 82% chance of getting in??? Yeah right.
Y'all, this is totally predicated that we win Saturday. I hope DJ and company score more points than our defense allows. All this other stuff is fun to speculate. I hope for starters for a UCF victory. That chip must be absolute one to fall our way.
Sure but logic doesn't always prevail......I really hope I am wrong but it would appear that even if the best case scenario for UCF plays out the committee can still do what ever they want based solely upon their totally subjective assessment
That would then create a firestorm
They would be out of excuses and the conspiracy theory would come into full play.
I would have to be aboard that train even though I have not been
None of those teams would be better than UCF IMO. Maybe Georgia. That’s why Alabama has to BLOW THEM OUT!
If Georgia plays Alabama close, then the committee has an excuse.
Yes, and a win guarantees a NY6 bowl game which I would be fine with. A loss guarantees
A crappy bowl which is a damn travesty for a team that loses 1 out of 25
Clemson is like Alabama according to the scamittee. They’re in even if they lose.
