Espn FPI

[beelit47]

FPI is very much imperfect but as a data nerd it’s interesting to watch it adjust to more games being played (more data points).

At start of season we were showing 45-60% chance to win most games with our lowest being about 30% to win at UF.

Now after week 3 we are 67% chance to win at FL. Our highest FPI is colorado right now at 87% while our lowest is currently @ASU at 61%.

The analytics show that UF just might not be very talented or that we may just be very underrated. Thats why we play the game

 

[Central Floridave]

Yup. UCF is favored by FPI currently on every game on the schedule including Utah.

Yet, still flying under the radar. I would have thought being in the Big 12 would have changed that. But, it hasn’t. Oh well, still a sleeping giant.

 

[beelit47]

Yup. UCF is favored by FPI currently on every game on the schedule including Utah.

Yet, still flying under the radar. I would have thought being in the Big 12 would have changed that. But, it hasn’t. Oh well, still a sleeping giant.

Meanwhile NIU is ranked because they beat an overrated Nd

 

[Central Floridave]

What is even more ironic is that Notre Dame is ranked higher than NIU. Like head to head don't matter or anything. Just name on the jersey does. And looking at Notre Dame storyline is that two starting lineman are out for the season.

It's like the voters don't even look at data or anything. I never understood how you can rank a team higher than another when the lower ranked team beat them? Like uh...results on the field should mean something.

At this moment, NIU is better than Notre Dame. Plain and simple.