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GAME 8, Cinci @ UCF Sims and Predictions

mr. knightman

Four-Star Recruit
Aug 10, 2021
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indianrivermusiccompany.com
10/27/2022 Cincinnati Edition:


Let's recap the ECU game...


A problem has been detected and Windows has been
shut down to prevent damage to your computer.

Install more memory. 0x0000001A


Ok, not a priority right now. Moving on...


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Cinci Fun-Facts:


The Bearcat football program is one of the nation's oldest, having fielded a team as early as 1885.

Cincinnati played Miami(OH) in the first intercollegiate football game held within the state of Ohio.

Cincinnati was the first "NON-P5" team to participate in the CFP during the 4-team CFP era.

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cincinnati_Bearcats_football


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Players to watch for Cinci:

Charles McClelland - RB, 5'11" 200 pounds, RS SR. Fast, shifty...experienced. We will see him run.

Ben Bryant - QB 6'3", 220 pounds, RS SR. 140/220 63.64 %, 15TDs 6int. We will see him throw.

Ivan Pace Jr. - LB, 6'0' 235 pounds, SR. 33 solo tackles, 39 assisted. 15.5 tackles were for 85 yards lost. 8 Sacks for 61 yards. I hope we don't see him at all.



***Onto the REAL Beef*** (or one of those pre-packaged Stuffed-Chicken and asparagus Publix dinners from the back by the meat section)

Weather forecast at 3:30PM Eastern kickoff:
Sunset: 6:42pm
Temp: 84F
Chance of rain: 11% (11%...not 10%. Not 15%. No, 11%.)


TV: ESPN


I ran 12 CPU simulations for a good math spread. I ran 11 of 12 with clear weather, one with light rain (approx rain chance). I have no damn clue about the offense anymore...Defense may win this game. This also feels like a game that could go to OT. Reaching a little here, Plumlee is a Capricorn and apparently "Vibe" and "Hustle" are 3 and 4 out of 5 stars this week, respectively, on Horoscope.com. (shrug)


Average of 12 simulation results:

UCF 41
Cinci 27

Sim Avg Spread:
UCF -14 (Vegas: UCF -1.5 1:31PM 10/27/22)



"Heart" Prediction:

The defense is still stout, last week was against a VERY experienced team. I think the offense *could* improve again, at home? Maybe? I hope? Please? Cincinnati is turning into a Rival I believe, and will continue that "aura" into the Big 12.


UCF 31
Cinci 28

"Heart" spread:

CENTRAL FLORIDA: -3 (Vegas be damned)

My friend's son Julian's prediction:

UCF 20
Cinci 17

Julian's line of doom: UCF -3 (He's not old enough for Vegas, sorry)



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AAAAAH EXCREMENT! End of 1st quarter and it's following the sim where we lose 27-17!

OK end of 2nd all bets are off.
 
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