THIS! 👍That's like saying "but how many opioid addicts are using legally acquired opioids? Your opioid overdose death statistics include illegally acquired opioids."
AND THIS! 👍I said the industry is protected politically. You said "actually they're not." You can't possibly have meant that. They have their own law (PLCAA) that exempts from legal liability in how a firearm is used.
It’s not the industry that doesn’t want smart technology, it’s the consumer base. Guns need to work each and every single time that you pick them up and pull the trigger. Any technology that gets in the middle of that action is going to be looked at suspiciously by a good deal of gun owners.There you go! What I'm saying is that it's OK to admit there are pros and cons. But you have to have an honest discussion. Trading those benefits against the police officer deaths, murders, suicides, accidental injury, etc is fair.
I'm not anti-gun, but I can't stand how the industry is protected politically. There's no downsides for manufacturers if their products fuel a black market - only financial rewards. The industry wants no part of developing "smart" technology into consumer firearms (I've seen this first hand through some product development work I've done).
So it's basically a big dinosaur that relies on political cover to keep blindly producing as many dumb firearms as it can with zero liability risk for how they are used and no responsibility for how many of their products end up on the black market.
But not necessarily in the US. And I’d argue that a good number of guns used in organized crime were never publicly legal because they were purchased through strawman purchases which are illegal acts themselves.All guns are initially legal.
This is all total BS and you're the one drinking the NRA Kool Aid. I've had my hands directly involved in "smart" firearm development (I'm a mechanical engineer) working with a startup founded by LEO's. The only reason we haven't had them already for decades is politics. Full stop.Because they don't work consistently. Show me a product that works consistently!
Biometrics aren't easy in a small device not connected to a constantly charged product.
You do realize that firearms are not smart phones and one of the first, simple, mechanical devices, correct?
That's like mandating smartphone safety and state tracking to a bicycle with no gears. It's beyond stupid, and will immediately lead to privacy issues overnight.
Literally think things through before you speak. They want smarts in guns to confiscate them.
Consumer surveys done by anyone except the gun lobby show a general openness to smart firearms. This 2016 survey by Johns Hopkins had 40% of current gun owners and over 50% of self identified conservatives say they would consider a smart gun if it were on the market. That's plenty good enough to fuel development of a premium product for a segment of the consumer base that would value those benefits over the potential drawbacks.It’s not the industry that doesn’t want smart technology, it’s the consumer base. Guns need to work each and every single time that you pick them up and pull the trigger. Any technology that gets in the middle of that action is going to be looked at suspiciously by a good deal of gun owners.
You do realize what the fear is, right? I know that you’re calling the NRA’s positions nonsensical but you’re also vastly understating the challenges of developing a zero-failure, ruggedized, critical biometric authz capability in a firearm with a lifetime of a century or more. BS has a wealth of experience in the sector and so do I andThis is all total BS and you're the one drinking the NRA Kool Aid. I've had my hands directly involved in "smart" firearm development (I'm a mechanical engineer) working with a startup founded by LEO's. The only reason we haven't had them already for decades is politics. Full stop.
Guess what happens when a gun store in the US wants to sell a smart gun? They get death threats and boycotts. Guess what happens when an expert manufacturer decides to dive into smart guns development? Boycotts.
So the result is that no expert gun manufacturer even tries to develop smart tech. If the NRA even discovers a secret R&D effort, you'll get boycotted. So instead, we have a bunch of fledgling startups who - even with a functional product - have no distribution network because gun dealers can't sell them even if they want to.
But yea - when they finally hit the market they'll suck. They'll be easy to defeat and struggle with reliability. But they'll also rapidly improve. The problem is were' about 20 years behind on that development because of nonsensical perspectives perpetuated by the NRA that you've gobbled up.
Did they ask them how many would consider it for their primary defensive firearm? Because I’d love to have one and be the cool guy on the range but there’s no way in hell that I’m counting on it in a life or death situation.Consumer surveys done by anyone except the gun lobby show a general openness to smart firearms. This 2016 survey by Johns Hopkins had 40% of current gun owners and over 50% of self identified conservatives say they would consider a smart gun if it were on the market. That's plenty good enough to fuel development of a premium product for a segment of the consumer base that would value those benefits over the potential drawbacks.
It is true that a highly vocal minority of gun enthusiasts do not want smart guns because of a slippery-slope argument. But they aren't scared of crappy smart guns that fail in a moment of crisis. They're scared that over time the technology will become cheap and highly reliable, at which point it might be regulated as mandatory.
I'll gladly admit that banning "dumb guns" is absolutely a risk when the technology matures. But that's a completely different issue to whether or not "smart guns" provide value to some segment of the market who would are willing to make some trade offs.
Could you imagine being stuck with carburetors because gearheads pressured the automotive industry to avoid fuel injection? It's crazy. Is there any other industry that is scared of innovation like this?
Which the manufacturers STILL profited from - right? The manufacturer made a legal sale to a dealer.But not necessarily in the US. And I’d argue that a good number of guns used in organized crime were never publicly legal because they were purchased through strawman purchases which are illegal acts themselves.
Yeah, we can build self-driving cars, billionaires can put themselves into outer space --- but alas --- we simply do not have the capability of developing a reliable smart gun.*you’re also vastly understating the challenges of developing a zero-failure, ruggedized, critical biometric authz capability in a firearm with a lifetime of a century or more.
First, opioids are not a constitutional natural right. Secondly, there’s a threshold for legitimate use of opioids to treat pain and a duration that expires. Are you saying that we limit gun possession to one or two? On what grounds?Which the manufacturers STILL profited from - right? The manufacturer made a legal sale to a dealer.
Hence my opioid analogy. The bigger the market for illegal guns, the more guns we have to legally manufacture to service that market. With no accountability on manufacturers, they have zero incentive to reduce the supply of illegal firearms on the streets.
Free markets work when incentives are aligned properly. If you don't want opioid manufacturers to cover their eyes when they ship enough drugs to a rural county to supply the medical needs of NYC, make those pills cost more than the profit they generate. Make them pay 10 or 100x the cost for every illegal pill you recover in a county and maybe they start vetting their pain clinics a bit better.
You're imposing impossible design requirements. I remember reading (a while back) something on a 9mm failure rate - I think it was testing done by the US Army - and the mean failure rate was something like 1 in 500 rounds. I don't know the hard data - but it obviously varies from model to model, not to mention individual maintenance.You do realize what the fear is, right? I know that you’re calling the NRA’s positions nonsensical but you’re also vastly understating the challenges of developing a zero-failure, ruggedized, critical biometric authz capability in a firearm with a lifetime of a century or more. BS has a wealth of experience in the sector and so do I and
Not to mention that it may not be a good thing to limit firearms to one person or even a couple. Let’s say there’s an active shooter event and the responding SRO is shot. Now, a retired officer provides aid and could take out the shooter but he can’t use the firearm because it’s keyed only to the officer. How many more people get killed?
But back to the NRA, you realize that they’re so aggressive because politicians will leap at any smart solution and will outlaw all but the smart weapons almost instantly. For that to happen, you’d better be damn sure that your solution works perfectly every single time. Forever. In every condition and every circumstance and with varying degrees of maintenance. I’m skeptical but I’d listen to a proposal. Regardless, agree or disagree, I’m sure that you can see the sense behind their actions.
Yeah, sk8's got a point here: It's much simpler to change the culture of violence we've seen throughout Mankind's existence on Earth than to develop reliable smart gun technology.I’d love to have one and be the cool guy on the range but there’s no way in hell that I’m counting on it in a life or death situation.
It's not a perfect analogy, but it's hard to think of comparisons to firearms. Where I think it holds is that the bigger the black market demand for firearms, the more money manufacturers make legally. When a gun is stolen and goes on the black market, the owner needs to replace it. So the bottom line is that an expanding black market is good for manufacturers. That's my point and I don't think it's something that basic economics can let you argue with.First, opioids are not a constitutional natural right. Secondly, there’s a threshold for legitimate use of opioids to treat pain and a duration that expires. Are you saying that we limit gun possession to one or two? On what grounds?
In any case, I don’t think that you’re seeing huge spikes of guns sales in Chicago or the suburbs.
Yea it is crap because I can't come up with a good one. I think that points more to the absurdity of an industry that boycotts at the sniff of safety innovation more than anything else. Can you think of a comprison?Did they ask them how many would consider it for their primary defensive firearm? Because I’d love to have one and be the cool guy on the range but there’s no way in hell that I’m counting on it in a life or death situation.
Your car analogy is crap, you normally do better than that.
Yeah, but you can quickly clear a mechanical fire failure in a pistol. Drop the mag, rack the slide, and reinsert and go. That is a non-catastrophic failure. When the electronics fail such that the weapon is inoperable, that is a catastrophic failure for which the result is grave bodily harm or death.You're imposing impossible design requirements. I remember reading (a while back) something on a 9mm failure rate - I think it was testing done by the US Army - and the mean failure rate was something like 1 in 500 rounds. I don't know the hard data - but it obviously varies from model to model, not to mention individual maintenance.
Realistically, you need to achieve failure rates on par with the existing mechanical failure rates. But there's possible benefits as well. If the safety features of the gun allow you to store it in a more accessible way, that could be a critical advantage in a self defense situation.
But again, you're stuck on a slippery slope argument. And I don't even necessarily disagree with you on the long term outcome. I just think it's a one of those arguments that always loses in the long run. You have to win the debate on mandatory smart technology on its own merits - not by delaying the inevitable introduction of the technology.
Haha, that's fair. Rather than inserting a potential failure into the firing mechanism, why not institute something like a self-destruct mechanism where an owner could render the firearm useless if it is stolen.Yea it is crap because I can't come up with a good one. I think that points more to the absurdity of an industry that boycotts at the sniff of safety innovation more than anything else. Can you think of a comprison?
Conceptually I like that idea because it goes to the other thing we are talking about, which would be an ability to go after the black market by eliminating at least part of the supply. This is the kind of thing that manufacturers would want to do if they wanted to disrupt the black market - like if they were being held liable when one of their devices was used in a crime.Haha, that's fair. Rather than inserting a potential failure into the firing mechanism, why not institute something like a self-destruct mechanism where an owner could render the firearm useless if it is stolen.
I think the safety argument *could* be a completely valid one, but you have to frame it with data. The electronics is going to have one-off failures as well. If a 1 in 500 mechanical jam is not catastrophic, then neither would a 1-500 authentication failure rate. You'll be able to retry the authentication faster than you can clear the mechanical failure.Yeah, but you can quickly clear a mechanical fire failure in a pistol. Drop the mag, rack the slide, and reinsert and go. That is a non-catastrophic failure. When the electronics fail such that the weapon is inoperable, that is a catastrophic failure for which the result is grave bodily harm or death.
Also, in the military, the mitigation is that a soldier is not a lone participant in a firing action. So you can accept some higher level of malfunction because you have other people capable of completing the mission. When you're a lone home defender or other self-defense, you need a more reliable weapon.
The political argument is slippery slope, absolutely. But the safety aspect is certainly not.
TL;DR Version...This is all total BS and you're the one drinking the NRA Kool Aid. I've had my hands directly involved in "smart" firearm development (I'm a mechanical engineer) working with a startup founded by LEO's. The only reason we haven't had them already for decades is politics. Full stop.
What about NSSF? (the actual gun manufacturer lobby)If the NRA even discovers a secret R&D effort, you'll get boycotted.
Because the consumer isn't going to accept them. The market doesn't want them.So instead, we have a bunch of fledgling startups who - even with a functional product - have no distribution network because gun dealers can't sell them even if they want to.
Exactly my point.But yea - when they finally hit the market they'll suck. They'll be easy to defeat and struggle with reliability.
And if mandates, be sacked with crap.But they'll also rapidly improve.
I'm not a NRA member and have been long critical.The problem is were' about 20 years behind on that development because of nonsensical perspectives perpetuated by the NRA that you've gobbled up.
I'm not trying to make an argument about the tech. I know it's hard. But hard things require investment and a path to market. How do you think the investment pitch goes when you have to acknowledge that no firearms dealer in the country will even consider stocking your product because they don't want death threats? That trade organizations and lobbyists are going to organize against your startup and run smear campaigns?TL;DR Version...
I've designed IoT that I refuse to use or out in my home, car or anywhere else. I've worked for banks and refuse to use their apps. And I'm NOT putting a 'digital control' on, what is essentially, a wrench. It's tech for tech's sake.
That should tell you everything.
People call me a 'tech phobe' and I own it, while having far more education and experience than them. So, you're the expert here, stop talking about the NRA (while ignoring the USCCA and NSSF) and educate me at the same level since we're peers ... how do they work?
Consumers will NOT accept it.I'm not trying to make an argument about the tech. I know it's hard. But hard things require investment and a path to market. How do you think the investment pitch goes when you have to acknowledge that no firearms dealer in the country will even consider stocking your product
No, consumers will refuse to buy them, just like the Secret Service, FBI, Capitol Police, etc... would.because they don't want death threats?
Again, stop with this. Really. It's just like the US Media narrative for the mRNA vaccines. They are NOT protesting vaccines, they are protecting control, passports and tracking!That trade organizations and lobbyists are going to organize against your startup and run smear campaigns?
No, Colt pulled out because of lack of sales. Colt and large companies don't put R&D into such things when they lose money.I posted the article already about what happened Colt back in the early 2000's when they were actively working on developing this kind of tech. So that only leaves startups.
Which is stupid. It's digitizing a wrench.Which means you have to both master the tech AND the firearm.
Bingo! That's the problem! But not because of protests.Good luck designing a brand new firearm from scratch that competes with the reliability of firearms of decades old designs without access to the expertise internal to those manufacturing operations.
Agreed!So even if your tech is A+, it's probably going to be a pretty shit product when it comes to it's core function.
Sigh... there is no money!But don't mistake my argument here. I'm not saying "OMG WE NEED SMART GUNS!". I'm saying that industry power players are distorting market activity by promulgating information and organizing boycotts that are preventing these efforts from even getting a shot.
No, it's because the feds themselves won't.Eventually, someone will disrupt and break through, but the industry is doing all the gatekeeping they can to make that as hard as possible.
not the worst analogy i've ever heard but its probably top 5.That's like saying "but how many opioid addicts are using legally acquired opioids? Your opioid overdose death statistics include illegally acquired opioids."
You are taking this discussion in 20 different directions.Consumers will NOT accept it.
Politicians mandating someone's 'expertise' - while they themselves, or their own security detail, don't use them - is the ultimate hypocrisy.
And that's what I'd say to Biden. If they are so good, mandate your own security, Capitol police and all federal law enforcement use them. And guess what?! They would balk, starting with his Secret Service!
That's hypocrisy in leadership, just like with SARS-CoV-2.
I actually thought it was pretty good! Must have went way over your head.not the worst analogy i've ever heard but its probably top 5.
Until them they'll just keep their guns locked in a safe that needs either a key (that you have to remember where you keep it, don't break it with all the adrenaline, etc) or a numerical combination (have to remember, hope it doesn't fail, etc).You are taking this discussion in 20 different directions.
Maybe smart firearms of any implementation are a terrible idea. Maybe the market will reject them all. Most likely it would carve out a small niche where tech early adopters and gun enthusiasts intersect. From there, who knows where or how it evolves.
So I believe it is totally rational to be "scared" that the tech would eventually reach a level of maturity that it a mandate is possible. That is why the industry itself takes a public stance of "yea we're cool with smart guns - let the market decide" while privately seeking to undermine it's development.
It's a simple political strategy - "Can't have a working mandate if we don't have working tech!" That's all I'm saying. If you agree with the strategy more power to you. I think it's been a really good strategy because the tech is probably 10-20 years behind where it could be if the industry had it embraced it.
> *woman being raped and murderedI actually thought it was pretty good! Must have went way over your head.
Considering that it is already illegal for that 13 year old to hold a weapon, tell me what law you’re going to pass to stop that shooting.
This 13-year old was just going to school. Albuquerque had a good person taken from them by an evil murderous 13-year old fiend. Screw gun control, we need real change; change from a culture where violence is a way of life, right sk8?
What??!? This isn't about GUNS. This is all about changing the culture of violence, remember?Considering that it is already illegal for that 13 year old to hold a weapon, tell me what law you’re going to pass to stop that shooting.
So you have no ideas. As usual. Just meaningless prattle from a worthless old man.What??!? This isn't about GUNS. This is all about changing the culture of violence, remember?
LMFAO. This gem from the OP who said it's all about "changing the culture of violence." Talk about meaningless prattle.So you have no ideas. As usual. Just meaningless prattle from a worthless old man.
Over your head confirmed.
No, I nailed it ... utterly!You are taking this discussion in 20 different directions.
I already said I'd be all for 'smart holsters, safes, etc...'Maybe smart firearms of any implementation are a terrible idea. Maybe the market will reject them all. Most likely it would carve out a small niche where tech early adopters and gun enthusiasts intersect. From there, who knows where or how it evolves.
Again, the US Federal Gov't could mandate for itself first, providing a lot of R&D funding as well as 'sanity check.' But it won't. That's the problem.So I believe it is totally rational to be "scared" that the tech would eventually reach a level of maturity that it a mandate is possible. That is why the industry itself takes a public stance of "yea we're cool with smart guns - let the market decide" while privately seeking to undermine it's development.
And you're not listening to my simple answer ... the US Federal Gov't can go first.It's a simple political strategy - "Can't have a working mandate if we don't have working tech!" That's all I'm saying. If you agree with the strategy more power to you. I think it's been a really good strategy because the tech is probably 10-20 years behind where it could be if the industry had it embraced it.
You have lots of valuable information but I feel like you talk in circles and ignore the central point. You seem to think I'm arguing for a mandate of some sort. I'm not.And you're not listening to my simple answer ... the US Federal Gov't can go first.
This says it all.“They actually love the technology. They’re worried about political backlash.”
I'm sure you can find lots of quotes, and lots of fears.You have lots of valuable information but I feel like you talk in circles and ignore the central point. You seem to think I'm arguing for a mandate of some sort. I'm not.
History doesn't tend to come down on the side of resisting technology just for the sake of resisting it, and that's exactly what's happening here. There's no world where soldiers are using "dumb" firearms 100 years from now. But I do agree with you that the market for this probably starts via government contracts.
This Reuters article pretty sums up my limited experience on the issue.
Gun with a chip: U.S. Army contracts may lead to a smarter firearm
A carbine that can call in an airstrike. A computer-aided scope on a machine gun that can turn just about anyone into a marksman.Even firearms that measure and record every movement, from the angle of the barrel to the precise moment of each shot fired, which could provide...www.reuters.com
“Our team is composed of veterans, law enforcement officers, people that are pro-Second Amendment to begin with,” Smith said, referring to the amendment in the U.S. constitution that grants American citizens the right to bear arms.“But we also have engaged with people in the weapons manufacturing industry. They actually love the technology. They’re worried about political backlash.”
Actually look at stats more officers die from Covid then gunfire..FIFY. We average 176 police officer deaths in the line of duty a year.
the only thing over anyones head is your strange pivot after being schooled on the net positive of guns.Over your head confirmed.
That's like many diseases. Gun homicides aren't statistically significant in the grand scheme of things.Actually look at stats more officers die from Covid then gunfire..