9/21/2022 "Wreck" Edition:
Let's recap FAU...
I was there! We tailgated and endured the soaking rain. Thankfully it relaxed a bit aside from a small rain cloud during the third quarter. We sat right in the middle behind goal-posts in 217. I am convinced the UCF fans in the end-zone were critical in noise/distraction on the 4-down goal-line stand.
Ok, sim results and accuracy review:
The "math on paper" favored FAU offense a bit heavily but was "in acceptable range", 49-35. At the beginning of the game FAU's offense did show some flash...
My "heart" prediction was much closer, 45-21. I gave FAU one more score and my variance for offense and defense was within one score.
My friend's son Julian was the closest. 38-14. Variance? Offense was +2. Nailed the Defense. I am starting to think Julian is a walking time/space wormhole connected by string-theory to another end-point at a sportsbook in Atlantic City where numbers flow to his skull from 7 days in the future. I am tempted to tap his skills with the Florida lottery if he keeps this up...
Moving onto the Wreck...
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Wreck Fun-Facts:
Georgia Tech's biggest sports rivalry is with the University of Georgia (UGA) in Athens, Georgia
Women students were first admitted in 1952
In 1961, Georgia Tech famously became the first college in the Deep South to allow African American students without needing a court order.
Their mascot is 'Buzz' the yellow jacket
Buzz first made an appearance at home games (football) in 1980
Source: GOOGLE
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Players to watch for Wreck:
Jeff Sims - 6'4", 219, SO from Jacksonville, FL. Can scramble and does show flashes of talent.
E.J. Jenkins - 6'7", 243, RS SR from Fredericksburg, VA. South Carolina transfer. Very tall WR and has height, large stride.
Luke Benson - 6'4", 236, JR from Chalfont, PA. Syracuse transfer. Very capable TE that can catch.
***Onto the REAL Beef*** (or Herb-crusted Chicken, honey-buttered sweet potatoes and asparagus)
Weather forecast at 4:00PM Eastern kickoff (Updated 9/22):
Sunset: 7:19pm
Temp: 81F
Chance of rain: 5% (impossible...bring poncho anyway)
TV: ESPNU (update 9/22)
I ran 12 CPU simulations for a good math spread. I ran 11 of 12 with clear or light breezy conditions to approximate rain-chance. I really wanted Georgia Tech to be somewhat improved by now. They aren't. It's that simple. At the time of this write-up, Collins is still the coach, I think.
Average of 12 simulation results:
UCF 52
Wreck 21
Sim Avg Spread:
UCF -31 (Vegas: UCF -20.5 8:52PM 9/21/22)
"Heart" Prediction:
I think the Defense continues to gel, the question really is offense production. Over 40 is likely. I think over 50 is a bit much in the math, could happen?
UCF 45
Wreck 13
"Heart" spread:
CENTRAL FLORIDA: -32 (Vegas be damned)
My friend's son Julian's prediction:
UCF 45
Wreck 7
Julian's line of doom: UCF -38 (He's not old enough for Vegas, sorry)
Let's recap FAU...
I was there! We tailgated and endured the soaking rain. Thankfully it relaxed a bit aside from a small rain cloud during the third quarter. We sat right in the middle behind goal-posts in 217. I am convinced the UCF fans in the end-zone were critical in noise/distraction on the 4-down goal-line stand.
Ok, sim results and accuracy review:
The "math on paper" favored FAU offense a bit heavily but was "in acceptable range", 49-35. At the beginning of the game FAU's offense did show some flash...
My "heart" prediction was much closer, 45-21. I gave FAU one more score and my variance for offense and defense was within one score.
My friend's son Julian was the closest. 38-14. Variance? Offense was +2. Nailed the Defense. I am starting to think Julian is a walking time/space wormhole connected by string-theory to another end-point at a sportsbook in Atlantic City where numbers flow to his skull from 7 days in the future. I am tempted to tap his skills with the Florida lottery if he keeps this up...
Moving onto the Wreck...
----
Wreck Fun-Facts:
Georgia Tech's biggest sports rivalry is with the University of Georgia (UGA) in Athens, Georgia
Women students were first admitted in 1952
In 1961, Georgia Tech famously became the first college in the Deep South to allow African American students without needing a court order.
Their mascot is 'Buzz' the yellow jacket
Buzz first made an appearance at home games (football) in 1980
Source: GOOGLE
----
Players to watch for Wreck:
Jeff Sims - 6'4", 219, SO from Jacksonville, FL. Can scramble and does show flashes of talent.
E.J. Jenkins - 6'7", 243, RS SR from Fredericksburg, VA. South Carolina transfer. Very tall WR and has height, large stride.
Luke Benson - 6'4", 236, JR from Chalfont, PA. Syracuse transfer. Very capable TE that can catch.
***Onto the REAL Beef*** (or Herb-crusted Chicken, honey-buttered sweet potatoes and asparagus)
Weather forecast at 4:00PM Eastern kickoff (Updated 9/22):
Sunset: 7:19pm
Temp: 81F
Chance of rain: 5% (impossible...bring poncho anyway)
TV: ESPNU (update 9/22)
I ran 12 CPU simulations for a good math spread. I ran 11 of 12 with clear or light breezy conditions to approximate rain-chance. I really wanted Georgia Tech to be somewhat improved by now. They aren't. It's that simple. At the time of this write-up, Collins is still the coach, I think.
Average of 12 simulation results:
UCF 52
Wreck 21
Sim Avg Spread:
UCF -31 (Vegas: UCF -20.5 8:52PM 9/21/22)
"Heart" Prediction:
I think the Defense continues to gel, the question really is offense production. Over 40 is likely. I think over 50 is a bit much in the math, could happen?
UCF 45
Wreck 13
"Heart" spread:
CENTRAL FLORIDA: -32 (Vegas be damned)
My friend's son Julian's prediction:
UCF 45
Wreck 7
Julian's line of doom: UCF -38 (He's not old enough for Vegas, sorry)
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