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The Current State of Florida Programs

Remember when I told AuburnLegacy1 that the UCF DL was going to have issues sacking the QB? Ted Roof will rely on “exotic blitzes” he said.

Welp…boys dead last in all of FBS in team sacks with just 3. Can’t even make it up. LOL.

 
Remember when I told AuburnLegacy1 that the UCF DL was going to have issues sacking the QB? Ted Roof will rely on “exotic blitzes” he said.

Welp…boys dead last in all of FBS in team sacks with just 3. Can’t even make it up. LOL.

Probably post rushing yards. Let’s do that and ask what being flexed.
 
I find it funny that these cane fans hang out here so much. I never go on cane boards, don't even know if they have one that is active.
I know they are having good season, don't know how many wins they have or who they have played outside of gators.
 
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B
I find it funny that these cane fans hang out here so much. I never go on cane boards, don't even know if they have one that is active.
I know they are having good season, don't know how many wins they have or who they have played outside of gators.
Ball St, USF and FAMU type teams.
 
Remember when I told AuburnLegacy1 that the UCF DL was going to have issues sacking the QB? Ted Roof will rely on “exotic blitzes” he said.

Welp…boys dead last in all of FBS in team sacks with just 3. Can’t even make it up. LOL.

You "won here."

Cracking Up Lol GIF
 
I realize now why I f-ing hate Miami. I was born and raised in Florida. Grew up in the 70s and 80s . Their fan base is absolute trash . I went to grad school at FSU in the 90s and have seen a number of FSU Miami games in Tallahassee over the years and consistently their fans are the worse. They are obnoxious and just rude. They are the worst behaving fan base in the state.

It's evident by Loboclown hanging our here. It is as if he thinks we admire his UCF put downs and wisdom. He is not an endearing fan. He is typical Miami hurricane fan, arrogant and living in the 80s.

He is here because wittle Ole UCF is on the rise. He is here because our coaches are often put recruiting Miami for the same guys. He is here because UCF is on equal foot conference wise but now making nearly double in revenue than they are.

Yah , Miami is pretty good and Cam Ward is a great player. Miami could actually win their first ever ACC title this year. They have been waiting for this moment for decades. Congrats Lobo , your team is doing well. So is UCF and if things go our way we could be playing for our first BigXII championship in year 2 of our joining a power conference. Maybe we celebrate firsts together . 😆

Now back to your typical arrogant Miami troll job.
 
Yah , Miami is pretty good and Cam Ward is a great player. Miami could actually win their first ever ACC title this year. They have been waiting for this moment for decades. Congrats Lobo , your team is doing well. So is UCF and if things go our way we could be playing for our first BigXII championship in year 2 of our joining a power conference. Maybe we celebrate firsts together . 😆

Now back to your typical arrogant Miami troll job.
One caveat...

Miami is razor thin on the offensive line and Cam Ward is one big shot away from the u "being back" to average.
 
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Huh? Do you know how many times Miami went under 0.500 in an ACC that had a worse SoS than the AAC?!

Are you seriously throwing stones from within your glass house?!
UCF has a three game losing streak against the ACC…boys can’t play in a real conference.
 
Miami some pretenders 🤣
For “60k in the stands” it’s looking pretty sparse.

Actual attendance vs Announced attendance inflation must be a S FL thing. Errr I mean a W Central & S FL thing…
 
59,539 fans at Miami’s game tonight. It was a great night for Miami football. 5 games for Cam Ward this year and over 300 yards and 3 TDs in every game.










 
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Soon you’ll have some random UCF player doing The Celly and UCF fans will claim it. Wait for it.

 
Looking at the current state of the in-state programs, we can project where UCF may fit in going forward and what their upside for opportunity is. The big 3 had a golden opportunity over the last 5 + years to carve out their spot as the premier program in the state and have squandered that. Based on last year’s season, FSU (10-3) is far and away the best team currently, while Miami (5-7) and UF (6-7) were questionable at best.

Miami has been especially underwhelming considering the recruiting success they had. Let’s take a look at the last 5 years recruiting rankings for each and their end of season ranking. They had a top 10 class for 2023, but that was in part due to Florida NIL legislation that hamstrung the public schools, their shady donor Ruiz funding a large portion of their war chest, and incompetence from their in-state competition. Now if Miami doesn’t have success immediately, they’re in big trouble. Ruiz may be running away from the SEC (not the conference) soon, UF has gotten their shit together finally and organized their NIL collective, and FSU’s recent success has improved their recruiting dramatically. While 2024’s recruiting rankings are still very early, this is already starting to show

Miami RecruitMiami RankingFlorida RecruitFlorida RankingFSU RecruitFSU RankingUCF RecruitUCF Ranking
20188-14711-6211
201927-9618-6024
2020172291322-75-
202111-12-23-58-
202216-18-201152-
20237TBD14TBD19TBD50TBD
202426TBD12TBD7TBD45TBD

Compounding this is revenue by conference. Let’s take a look at the ACC vs SEC vs Big 12 revenue. Now obviously this doesn’t account for NIL and donations, but there is such a large gap between the SEC and Big 12/ACC, Florida is always positioned for success by being in the premier conference. FSU and Miami, however, are in a much more precarious situation. As realignment looms, they need to position themselves as best as possible over the next couple of seasons. This means no more 5-7 seasons and they must take advantage of a weak ACC for conference title contention. FSU is considered the superior product and should be likely to be swooped up if realignment occurs. However Miami is not a slam dunk 538 Analysis. As we have seen, timing is everything and the teams that do get added are ones that increase value or are on par for existing members. Name recognition only goes so far when it doesn’t translate to on the field success, and resting on the laurels of glory days doesn’t resonate to kids who weren’t even born yet to witness a “dynasty.”

SECBig 12ACC
$68M/year through 2034$31.67M/year through 2031$20M/year through 2036

What does this mean for UCF?

The P5 schools will now have to also compete with UCF for recruiting and power within the state. UCF will likely suck for the next few seasons and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a losing season or two. Historically teams that have jumped from G5 to P5 experiences growing pains as their level of competition ramps up. BUT, with a much larger warchest of revenue and NIL, a greater TV and market presence, and name recognition of the Big 12 in recruiting, we’ll see the program steadily build and improve. UCF is in a prime position, considering the recent sub-par seasons of the big 3 and their positioning for a larger revenue grab. While we may not see the translation of these changes immediately to wins, over time UCF will be competing more and more directly with the other in-state programs. I don’t think anyone expects Gus Malzahn to lead the team to the playoffs, but what he can do is recruit at a high level and hopefully bring the program up to a level of stability for the next coach to build upon.
Nice work. Good read
 
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