Obviously we don't have dates yet, and those could also play a major factor (cold weather, consecutive road games, etc), but just looking at next year's OOC and home/away conference slate:
Jax State (8/28): CUSA champs, will be good home opening test for UCF. Their 2024 schedule includes a win over Liberty, whose coach had been mentioned as a candidate here. They will be playing their bowl game right here in Orlando against Ohio, if anyone wants to get a sneak peek at them. I'll give this one to UCF, as the home field should be electric with Frost making his return
North Carolina A&T (9/6): FCS Team at home. If Frost loses this game, the honeymoon ends quickly. UCF wins this one easily.
North Carolina (9/20): Home game against flagship P4 team, both with new coaches. I'll give this one to North Carolina.
From here on, all conference dates are TBD:
@ Baylor - a game that UCF should be able to win, but will put this one as a toss-up, edge to Baylor
@ BYU - might be one of the toughest games on our schedule, this one goes to BYU
@ Cincy - another game that should be manageable, but put this as a toss-up, edge to Cincy
@ Kansas State - along with BYU, one of our toughest games of the year. This one goes to K-State
@ Texas Tech - same as Baylor and Cincy, but I'd give the edge to Texas Tech on this one
Houston - manageable home game; edge to UCF
Oklahoma St - this year was surprisingly disappointing year for oSu, but I have to think they'll bounce back next year. Toss-up, edge to oSu for now.
Kansas - manageable home game; edge to UCF
West Virginia - another opponent that will have a new coach. We lost by 10 points at Morgantown this year, I think we pull out the win at home.
Way too early outlook: 5-7, with 3 of the games being toss-ups
Obviously the conference schedule dates and transfer portal will play a huge role in how this actually shakes out