Sizing up the Competition (In Conference):
- By mattropolis
- UCF Fan Forum
- 1 Replies
***All comments based on Ourlads.com depth chart and my personal opinion as an arm-chair warrior***
1) Cincy - Depth chart shows 8 Seniors on offense. They are still going to be very solid. I'm glad that running back left. He was a beast. That said, they lost Ridder and are replacing him with a Senior transfer from Eastern Michigan. Here's an odd situation, though. It's his fifth year in college but because of redshirting and 2020 he still has two years of eligibility left. That means he could be playing QB at the college level for 6 years. This QB was at Cincy for 3 years, transferred to Eastern Michigan and started in 2021, and now has transferred back to Cincy. The transfer portal at its worst....Eastern Michigan getting totally poached or used as a development platform for the Cincy QB. In his one season as starter (at Eastern Michigan) he completed 68% of his passes for 3121 yds but only had 14 TDs against 7 Ints. As a UCF fan, what I like about this is that he has beat out their 4-star QB recruit that has been at Cincy for 2 years (1 year of eligibility used in 2021). I can only assume in 2021 when they played the 4-star kid in 7 games that they thought he would be the starter in 2022. Much like us, seems like the QB situation is not settled prior to the season. Depth chart only shows 6 transfers on the two-deep (five in back-up roles) so they feel good about the guys they have developed and got depth. This game is going to be huge and I'm glad it is at our place.
Home games: Murderers row (sarcasm): Kennesaw State, Miami (Oh), Indiana (2-10 last season), USF, Navy, ECU, and Tulane.
Away games (tough schedule): Arkansas, Tulsa, SMU, UCF, Temple. Somehow Cincy and Tulsa have played 5 times in the last 10 years but 4 of the games were at Cincy. Tulsa beat them at home. All games pretty close.
We'll find out a lot about this team on week 1 when they travel to Arkansas but then they don't play anybody with a pulse for 3-4 weeks after that so it's going to be hard to gauge them for a while.
2) Houston - 5th year Senior QB. He made a huge jump in stats from 2020 to 2021. He completed 68% of his passes last year for 3550 yds with 30 TDs against 10 Ints. Not a threat running. Defense has 9 guys starting that are RS/Jr (or better). Houston was 12-2 last season with losses at home (first week) to Texas Tech and @Cincy. Holgerson is a crafty, veteran coach. Houston also feels like it has developed good talent within, only having 1 of 11 transfers in the 2-deep listed as starters, and the rest filling in depth. In 2021 Houston avoided playing both UCF and Cincy in the regular season. Same goes for 2022. They should be a lock for playing in the title game again, even playing @SMU. SMU has to play @UCF, Cincy, Houston and @Memphis.
Home games: Kansas, Rice, Tulane, USF, Temple, Tulsa
Away games: UTSA, Texas Tech, Memphis, Navy, SMU and ECU
3) SMU - Finished 8-4 in 2021, but finished 1-4 in their last 5 games (pummeled us at home; Lost @Cincy, @Houston, @Memphis, and Tulsa). Obviously, better competition than they played in their first seven games. He wasn't bad, either, especially for some tough road games. He had 10 TDs against 5 Ints in those games. Don't know what to make of that going into this season, other than the talent around him needs to get better. Prior to these games they were 7-0 but that was against: Abilene Christian, North Texas, @LaTech, @TCU (5-7), USF, @Navy, and Tulane. Tanner Mordecai is back for his second year as the starter. He threw 68% of his passes for over 3600 yds with 39 TDs against 12 Ints. He's a definite problem. Another kid that has 4 years in college but technically still has two years left. Kid could turn into a monster at the college level, declare for the NFL or bail for greener pastures (like a NIL deal for a year somewhere) next year as a hired gun (assuming he has another great season this year). This could be the surprise team of the league this year if the team around Mordecai improves. They have a tough schedule but almost all the tough games are at home. As for the rest of the team, I think they had a ton of transfers start last season so it is not odd that this years depth chart only shows one transfer starting, and another five as backups. 6 RS/Jr or better starting on offense and 8 on defense.
Home games: Lamar, TCU, Navy, Cincy, Houston, Memphis
Away games: North Texas, Maryland, UCF, Tulsa, USF, Tulane
4) Memphis - Had a down year last season at 6-6 but kind of reset things. In those 6 losses, they lost by 3, 3 (away), 6 (away), 17 (away), 1 and 18 (away). They started a true freshman QB who completed 60% of his passes for 3322 yds with 25 TDs against 8 Ints. Freshman QBs tend to not play well at road games. That's just the tale of the tape for all of college football. That said, even in the six games they lost (It looks like he only played in 5 of those), he threw 10 TDs against 3 Int. This seems to point more to an issue with the talent around the QB, then the QB. This kid could be a big problem. They have 8 starters on both offense and defense that are at least RSJr. 3 transfers have become starters. 7 others filling roles as backups. I didn't personally watch them play last year (other than our game) so I don't have any personal observations. With regards to conference play, 2 of their 3 hardest games on paper are at home.
Home: Arkansas State, North Texas, Temple, Houston, UCF, Tulsa, North Alabama (FCS)
Away: Miss St, Navy, ECU, Tulane, SMU
1) Cincy - Depth chart shows 8 Seniors on offense. They are still going to be very solid. I'm glad that running back left. He was a beast. That said, they lost Ridder and are replacing him with a Senior transfer from Eastern Michigan. Here's an odd situation, though. It's his fifth year in college but because of redshirting and 2020 he still has two years of eligibility left. That means he could be playing QB at the college level for 6 years. This QB was at Cincy for 3 years, transferred to Eastern Michigan and started in 2021, and now has transferred back to Cincy. The transfer portal at its worst....Eastern Michigan getting totally poached or used as a development platform for the Cincy QB. In his one season as starter (at Eastern Michigan) he completed 68% of his passes for 3121 yds but only had 14 TDs against 7 Ints. As a UCF fan, what I like about this is that he has beat out their 4-star QB recruit that has been at Cincy for 2 years (1 year of eligibility used in 2021). I can only assume in 2021 when they played the 4-star kid in 7 games that they thought he would be the starter in 2022. Much like us, seems like the QB situation is not settled prior to the season. Depth chart only shows 6 transfers on the two-deep (five in back-up roles) so they feel good about the guys they have developed and got depth. This game is going to be huge and I'm glad it is at our place.
Home games: Murderers row (sarcasm): Kennesaw State, Miami (Oh), Indiana (2-10 last season), USF, Navy, ECU, and Tulane.
Away games (tough schedule): Arkansas, Tulsa, SMU, UCF, Temple. Somehow Cincy and Tulsa have played 5 times in the last 10 years but 4 of the games were at Cincy. Tulsa beat them at home. All games pretty close.
We'll find out a lot about this team on week 1 when they travel to Arkansas but then they don't play anybody with a pulse for 3-4 weeks after that so it's going to be hard to gauge them for a while.
2) Houston - 5th year Senior QB. He made a huge jump in stats from 2020 to 2021. He completed 68% of his passes last year for 3550 yds with 30 TDs against 10 Ints. Not a threat running. Defense has 9 guys starting that are RS/Jr (or better). Houston was 12-2 last season with losses at home (first week) to Texas Tech and @Cincy. Holgerson is a crafty, veteran coach. Houston also feels like it has developed good talent within, only having 1 of 11 transfers in the 2-deep listed as starters, and the rest filling in depth. In 2021 Houston avoided playing both UCF and Cincy in the regular season. Same goes for 2022. They should be a lock for playing in the title game again, even playing @SMU. SMU has to play @UCF, Cincy, Houston and @Memphis.
Home games: Kansas, Rice, Tulane, USF, Temple, Tulsa
Away games: UTSA, Texas Tech, Memphis, Navy, SMU and ECU
3) SMU - Finished 8-4 in 2021, but finished 1-4 in their last 5 games (pummeled us at home; Lost @Cincy, @Houston, @Memphis, and Tulsa). Obviously, better competition than they played in their first seven games. He wasn't bad, either, especially for some tough road games. He had 10 TDs against 5 Ints in those games. Don't know what to make of that going into this season, other than the talent around him needs to get better. Prior to these games they were 7-0 but that was against: Abilene Christian, North Texas, @LaTech, @TCU (5-7), USF, @Navy, and Tulane. Tanner Mordecai is back for his second year as the starter. He threw 68% of his passes for over 3600 yds with 39 TDs against 12 Ints. He's a definite problem. Another kid that has 4 years in college but technically still has two years left. Kid could turn into a monster at the college level, declare for the NFL or bail for greener pastures (like a NIL deal for a year somewhere) next year as a hired gun (assuming he has another great season this year). This could be the surprise team of the league this year if the team around Mordecai improves. They have a tough schedule but almost all the tough games are at home. As for the rest of the team, I think they had a ton of transfers start last season so it is not odd that this years depth chart only shows one transfer starting, and another five as backups. 6 RS/Jr or better starting on offense and 8 on defense.
Home games: Lamar, TCU, Navy, Cincy, Houston, Memphis
Away games: North Texas, Maryland, UCF, Tulsa, USF, Tulane
4) Memphis - Had a down year last season at 6-6 but kind of reset things. In those 6 losses, they lost by 3, 3 (away), 6 (away), 17 (away), 1 and 18 (away). They started a true freshman QB who completed 60% of his passes for 3322 yds with 25 TDs against 8 Ints. Freshman QBs tend to not play well at road games. That's just the tale of the tape for all of college football. That said, even in the six games they lost (It looks like he only played in 5 of those), he threw 10 TDs against 3 Int. This seems to point more to an issue with the talent around the QB, then the QB. This kid could be a big problem. They have 8 starters on both offense and defense that are at least RSJr. 3 transfers have become starters. 7 others filling roles as backups. I didn't personally watch them play last year (other than our game) so I don't have any personal observations. With regards to conference play, 2 of their 3 hardest games on paper are at home.
Home: Arkansas State, North Texas, Temple, Houston, UCF, Tulsa, North Alabama (FCS)
Away: Miss St, Navy, ECU, Tulane, SMU