ESPN Projection for 2017
- Thread starter KnightVision82
- Start date
Thanks. Interesting read. There are about 5-6 games that will determine if
our season is average, good or great.
I wouldn't be so quick to pencil in Memphis as a lost and at SMU, Cincinnati, and Temple as all wins. There could always be a slip up on the road.
I see almost no way that we aren't destroying Maine, FiU and Uconn. Also, I just don't see us losing to ECU
That should be an easy 4 wins.
our season is average, good or great.
I wouldn't be so quick to pencil in Memphis as a lost and at SMU, Cincinnati, and Temple as all wins. There could always be a slip up on the road.
I see almost no way that we aren't destroying Maine, FiU and Uconn. Also, I just don't see us losing to ECU
That should be an easy 4 wins.
ESPN? Looks like it is ucf247 projections. But, good read. The George O'leary bowl? geezus, are they trolling this forum? LOL....
And some on here will start calling for Frost's head because we aren't going undefeated...
So according to ESPN FPI simulations
Safe wins (won > 80%) - FIU, Maine, ECU, UConn
Safe losses (lost > 80%) - none
Likely wins (won > 60%) - Cincy
Likely losses (lost > 60%) - Georgia Tech
Toss ups (within 10% of 50/50) - Memphis, Maryland, Navy, SMU, Temple, USF
So 7 or 8 wins plus a bowl
Safe wins (won > 80%) - FIU, Maine, ECU, UConn
Safe losses (lost > 80%) - none
Likely wins (won > 60%) - Cincy
Likely losses (lost > 60%) - Georgia Tech
Toss ups (within 10% of 50/50) - Memphis, Maryland, Navy, SMU, Temple, USF
So 7 or 8 wins plus a bowl
Yes, I worry about how the AAC may be sliding in competitive quality. Metrics will be poor again this year because P5 refuses to schedule AAC schools (who want home-and-away deals).
I don't necessarily believe that Georgia Tech is our toughest game. I think that Navy away is tougher. Maybe Maryland.
I think at the 5:37 mark of the first game there'll be one's calling for the execution of the starting QB.
The games are based on ESPN FPI which with absolutely no games played is pretty much garbage. We will see how things shake out once the games start.
If we beat Memphis I believe we have a good shot of at least taking one from GT/Maryland.
You guys have high expectations. I'm thinking this is a down year. We lost the entire Defensive backfield and I haven't seen any drastic Qb improvements or oline. Its difficult for me as a long time UCF fan to think we will be good. Especially after the disappointing cure bowl. Yes, UCF should be better than last year, however, every other team should be improved also. I'm going with 5 wins, maybe 6 to make a bowl. I think next year we get back into being a really good team. Usually takes 3 years for a new coach to make a dent. but, of course, here is the usual disclaimer and hoping I'm wrong. Go Knights!
You saw 1 game, a held back game at that and say you havent seen "drastic" improvements in either QB or Line???
Thats like judging an investments 5 year return on 1 day of bad trading...not enough evidence to make a true judgement. I agree, we have alot of work i want to see before i give us a true judgement, i want to see how we fare against memphis, but honestly, 8 wins isnt an astronomical projection, in fact very realistic.
If we can win 6 games, and then lose all but 2 by a TD or less to very good teams, all in a very down year at that with a super young team, 8 games with a slightly better team especially on O, and our defensive secondary is AS talented if not more talented by miles on paper. Hopefully the talent translates, if it does, our secondary has i think 4, 4 stars in it who were ESPN 300 players....they could wreak havoc on people.
Exactly, injuries are the only real thing that can fully derail anyone. Other than that, unless we just massively suck it up on one side of the ball, no reason we dont get 7-8
Temple is better? They lost a ton of talent.
USF is better with a new coach and losing Mack and Adams?
Cincinnati is better with a new coach?
FIU is a dumpster fire.
UConn lost talent and has a new coach
UCONN has a new QB who knows he had no shot at playing here though. They should be better???
If he starts day 1, they are in trouble...hes very good, but still a very raw freshman.
UCF was better last year with a new coach. New coaches inject energy in a program. Also, unknown strategies that could surprise some teams. Sorry, I still have a sour taste after the cure bowl. It wasn't too long ago. Like I said hopefully I'm wrong. 6 wins would be good. More would be icing on cake. I do think we will be better, at least hoping! Long time UCF fan here. Been going to games since 1985. I never expect us to be any good in the Spring/Summer. We have a great head coach that can keep us in an upward trajectory. But, as I see it we are still mediocre. Gotta prove on the field and not on a ESPN computer simulation.
6-6, 7-5 is very reasonable prediction and every year is a new season and a new team thankfully after the way last season ended.
Similar threads
