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Projected CFP Rankings & Scenarios

What ifs are nice and all, but numbers don't lie, and at the end of the day that's all that matters.

The receiver didn't make the catch, for whatever reason.

When Mack's on the field, our offense looks severely handicapped.
 
If these four things happen...

UCF beats Memphis
Texas beats OK
Northwestern beats OSU
Alabama beats Georgia

UCF will make the playoffs and play Alabama.

All four must happen.

If Pitt beats Clemson we slide into 3rd and play ND. Best case scenario.

Correct. And if this happens either the Peach or Fiesta would be very happy b/c one of them probably gets to host an Ohio State vrs Oklahoma bowl game with the other game getting UF and Michigan (I think).
No, it ain’t happening. Don’t get peoples hopes up
 
@GeniusParks you keep saying the committee says this or says that..... it doesn’t matter. They don’t follow their own written rules. They say they value conference champions and let an AL in last year who didn’t win their division. It’s all about money and the committee will do what they please
 
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@GeniusParks you keep saying the committee says this or says that..... it doesn’t matter. They don’t follow their own written rules. They say they value conference champions and let an AL in last year who didn’t win their division. It’s all about money and the committee will do what they please

Alabama got the 4th spot last year b/c they had 1 loss and Ohio State had 2, one of which was a horrible loss to Iowa so they were not comparable to bring Conference titles into account. Texas, Utah, and Northwestern could win conference titles and none of those teams will sniff the playoffs.

UCF will be ranked #7 this week based on the data available.
 
If you accept point spreads as percentage chances of winning the game, the chances are:

UCF 7 over Memphis is about 60%
Alabama 11 over Georgia about 80% so chances of both before any games have been played is 48%
Oklahoma 10 point favorite so TX chance is 25%, overall now 12%
NW an 11 point dog, so 20%. So UCF chance at this moment, sports gambling percentage wise, is 2.4%.

If every game was 50% toss up, chance would be 6.25%.
 
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@GeniusParks you keep saying the committee says this or says that..... it doesn’t matter. They don’t follow their own written rules. They say they value conference champions and let an AL in last year who didn’t win their division. It’s all about money and the committee will do what they please
They say they value conference champions .....but if Nick Saban goes on TV and shills the CFP perhaps he can get a kick back. :rolleyes:
 
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Crazy thing is both Ohio State and Oklahoma won a game in the last weeks with Maryland and Ok State going for 2 with no time left to win/lose the games.

We were hair away from sitting in the driver's seat.

Whatever happens, what a fun season and team. Prayers for Milton and his family. I'm still heartbroken for him.
 
It's far more fun to be Chicken Little, the sky is falling, than to realize we have good WRs, RBs, defense that's getting better, realize Memphis' defense is mediocre and Mack came into the usf game with probably little if any preparation during the week. In an earlier game this year, announcers said back-ups get little work during the week. But then again, it's so much more fun to run around yelling it's Armageddon.
 
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