SIM TIME!!! South Florida

anon_x731qvsnsyb8i · Nov 19, 2018

SIM TIME!!!!! South Florida.

Well, my predictions last week were "in the ballpark". UCF clobbered the spread, but the max points for offense was pretty much on the money. I only thought Cinci would score more. I am happy to be wrong. Last week, my prediction was: Avg: UCF 31-20 Line -11 (~-8 Vegas)
Actual:38-13

Still pretty close I think when you give or take a score. Enough to show the math was pretty good.

I factored in the current trends, and adjustments to defense, and a little bit of added discipline due to more varied playbook.

THIS WEEK!

Eat lots of steak.

Milton Starting, Clear day: UCF 40-18
Milton Starting, Rain: UCF 34-9
Milton Starting, Wind: UCF 32-9

Avg: UCF 36-12
MY line: UCF -24

KnightLooksLikeALady · Nov 19, 2018

Fascinating!

With a rivalry, anything can happen despite talent. Hopefully we don’t get complacent and we stick to blowing them out of the water.

80'sKnight · Nov 19, 2018

Why is it some think the rivalry only gives usf a boost? Don't you think our team will be up for the rivalry? We have so much more to going for us. They just have the rivalry and then staying home for their bowl game v the MAC. Just don't understand why every post I see about this game assumes usf is going to be much better because of the rivalry, assuming we're just going to be the same. Last year was only so close because we played w/o an off week, had coaches more interested in looking for houses in nebraska than preparing properly and usf was actually somewhat good. None of that applies this year.

anon_x731qvsnsyb8i · Nov 19, 2018

My feeling is without that on-campus stadium? You might see USF's program get REALLY close to the red-line with the lackluster support. I also predict FAU and FIU surpassing them as programs due to having stadiums of their own.

SiberianKnightmare · Nov 19, 2018

No one gets complacent.

This team has truly bought into 1-0. Be afraid USF.

UCFBS · Nov 19, 2018

USF at Ray Jay has almost always been tough.

mattropolis · Nov 19, 2018

80'sKnight said:
Why is it some think the rivalry only gives usf a boost? Don't you think our team will be up for the rivalry? We have so much more to going for us. They just have the rivalry and then staying home for their bowl game v the MAC. Just don't understand why every post I see about this game assumes usf is going to be much better because of the rivalry, assuming we're just going to be the same. Last year was only so close because we played w/o an off week, had coaches more interested in looking for houses in nebraska than preparing properly and usf was actually somewhat good. None of that applies this year.

Have you been at our games before? USF always seems more jacked than we do, playing above average. Once again this is their Super Bowl to salvage the season. They’ll be jacked. Hope we just prepare well and do what we do.

Poolside Knight · Nov 19, 2018

80'sKnight said:
Why is it some think the rivalry only gives usf a boost? Don't you think our team will be up for the rivalry? We have so much more to going for us. They just have the rivalry and then staying home for their bowl game v the MAC. Just don't understand why every post I see about this game assumes usf is going to be much better because of the rivalry, assuming we're just going to be the same. Last year was only so close because we played w/o an off week, had coaches more interested in looking for houses in nebraska than preparing properly and usf was actually somewhat good. None of that applies this year.

Uh history?

The Fiesta Bowl team was a 28 point favorite and only won by 3 at Home. USF has always shown more of an anger going into this game.

I do think Milton is a better College QB than Bortles so that bodes well to break the trend

firm_bizzle · Nov 19, 2018

80'sKnight said:
Why is it some think the rivalry only gives usf a boost? Don't you think our team will be up for the rivalry? We have so much more to going for us. They just have the rivalry and then staying home for their bowl game v the MAC. Just don't understand why every post I see about this game assumes usf is going to be much better because of the rivalry, assuming we're just going to be the same. Last year was only so close because we played w/o an off week, had coaches more interested in looking for houses in nebraska than preparing properly and usf was actually somewhat good. None of that applies this year.

They always get up for it more than us.

muckdawg24 · Nov 19, 2018

Then again, they are on a 4 game losing streak. They may have a little less wind in their sails this go-round.

knightraveler · Nov 19, 2018

Mr. Knightman said:
SIM TIME!!!!! South Florida.

Well, my predictions last week were "in the ballpark". UCF clobbered the spread, but the max points for offense was pretty much on the money. I only thought Cinci would score more. I am happy to be wrong. Last week, my prediction was: Avg: UCF 31-20 Line -11 (~-8 Vegas)
Actual:38-13

Still pretty close I think when you give or take a score. Enough to show the math was pretty good.

I factored in the current trends, and adjustments to defense, and a little bit of added discipline due to more varied playbook.

THIS WEEK!

Eat lots of steak.

Milton Starting, Clear day: UCF 40-18
Milton Starting, Rain: UCF 34-9
Milton Starting, Wind: UCF 32-9

Avg: UCF 36-12
MY line: UCF -24

The major variable is that it would make their season if they could beat us. If we play them like we played Cinci with no more than 1 turn over it should be an easy win.

firm_bizzle · Nov 19, 2018

muckdawg24 said:
Then again, they are on a 4 game losing streak. They may have a little less wind in their sails this go-round.

A wounded animal is the most dangerous.

muckdawg24 · Nov 19, 2018

firm_bizzle said:
A wounded animal is the most dangerous.

What about a wounded animal that's given up on life?

knightraveler · Nov 19, 2018

muckdawg24 said:
What about a wounded animal that's given up on life?

What about a wounded animal that chewed it's leg off to get out of a trap. They might be mad but they aren't going anywhere. (by the way I'm against trapping animals).

Shark59 · Nov 19, 2018

Best just to put that wounded animal down ASAP and move on!

HammerB08 · Nov 19, 2018

I saw that 35-0 sim in my wet dream last night.

SiberianKnightmare · Nov 19, 2018

The other element is that they just aren’t that good.

KnightsofGroveland · Nov 19, 2018

firm_bizzle said:
They always get up for it more than us.

That was when we had GOL for a coach. This is the new UCF.

AAC6800 · Nov 19, 2018

Shark59 said:
Best just to put that wounded animal down ASAP and move on!

Put old yeller down....

knightraveler · Nov 19, 2018

AAC6800 said:
Put old yeller down....

USF ain't no Old Yeller. Old Yeller had heart.

Knight_of_Parrish · Nov 20, 2018

My less-scientific NCAA 13 sim has UCF winning this week 33-9 (last week's sim was surprisingly close with UCF winning 38-10).

anon_x731qvsnsyb8i · Nov 26, 2018

Damn close again despite the loss of Milton. I don't believe the score would have changed much.

HammerB08 · Nov 26, 2018

I was hoping Heupel would go for the end zone with 40 seconds left and the ball on the USF 40 as payback for usf running it up in years past.

mattropolis · Nov 26, 2018

We did run the score up. It was 38-10.

Stormthecourt? · Nov 26, 2018

Knight_of_Parrish said:
My less-scientific NCAA 13 sim has UCF winning this week 33-9 (last week's sim was surprisingly close with UCF winning 38-10).

NCAA 13 sim has been good as well

SIM TIME!!! South Florida

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