On March 20 I said 17 million infected in 32 days. That’s April 21. Now let’s say on average those infected by that date die 14 days after. So May 5. On May 5 US had recorded 72,271 deaths. Given that I think IFR is actually around 0.4%, that means 72,271/.004 persons infected. That comes to 18 million. So I was a bit off. But for a prediction from a month before the occurrence and a month and a half before the deaths it wasn’t too bad. Just providing the data. Feel free to nitpick it.
I think it was the right call to make in the beginning. The one thing I would have done differently and said it right off the bat is that since we don't know what we are dealing with we should take things 2 weeks at a time. Shutdown, reassess, adjust, etc.
Well there you are being the Monday morning qb, lol. I agree in that ideally we would have shut down travel, but it really isnt something that would have been practical. Short of monitoring all global traffic it isnt something that would have been possible. Maybe moving forward we need some kind of protocol that allows us to redirect traffic to a known quarantine "safe zone" if something like this happens again.
*I don’t want to hear about numbers going down. Stop ruining all of our fun! We celebrate death only here in the WC you damn inbred, incel, MAGA-hat dumbshit!
I know you guys are trying desperately to paint the picture that our pandemic response "really wasn't too bad." But no amount of spin is going to sell that crock of shit to the American people.
You wouldn’t be posting this if you weren’t TERRIFIED THAT THIS EXACT THING IS GOING TO HAPPEN! It’s your worst TDS nightmare
Amazing that you never leaving your house and being isolated in Nebraska can even dare tell us all about what the American people think
Even on a dumb internet board, this kind of crap is way over the line.
I think Trump is doing a great job! The US has 4% of the world's population but only 30% of the world's deaths. He was able to keep it well under 50% and that should be applauded.#winning
Over 95% of the people that were supposed to die from this are still alive.
Can't speak about what was supposed to happen. However, what did happen is that the US had the most deaths in the world.
https://www.usnews.com/news/top-new...-in-places-reopening-us-health-secretary-saysI'm shocked that the lockdown did little.
If your boy Biden was in charge, we wouldn’t even have a US. China would annex us
You mean that we'd finish even worst that #1 in deaths? 93,000 almost to zero and probably even lower than that.
You don't find that ridiculous to the point of being unbelievable? 10% of all worldwide deaths are from NYC alone. Really?
It’s not believable. The chances that Russia and India have only 3k deaths each and China has only 4K is 0.
I look at South Korea and Japan. They have metropolitan areas similar to NYC, have had the virus around longer, and I think their numbers are trustworthy. NYC outpaces their entire countries by more than a factor of 10. Not likely.
Completely different cultures there. Look at every other westernized country in the world and the rates are similar or higher than the USA. I mean USA has 19 times the murder rate of Japan and 8 times that of South Korea.
I dont want to derail this discussion, but that is a terrible equivalency. Murder rate has nothing to do with an infectious disease.
![[roll]](http://l.yimg.com/j/assets/img/emoticons/classic/roll.r191677.gif "roll [roll]")
