First off, even a pro-Iranian media outlet in Iran found that
2/3rds of Iranians are blaming Iran for this, and still plan to protest. That says a lot! It also means the Trump adminsitration's policy of sanctions is crippling the Iranian leadership's ability to bribe business and community leaders.
Secondly, Trump has purposely avoided killing Iranian personnel, and refuses to strike Iran. Iran is getting desperate and finally decided to start killing Americans, not just unmanned vehicles. First a contractor, then organizing a protest with militia firing on the embassy (sound familiar?), and then rocket attacks on US compounds.
So ... that was the line, the 3 strikes.
So Trump basically took out their in-theater terrorist, and his chief calling-the-shots, while they were in Iraq, committing terror, and planning more. It wasn't any different than Trump
'reminding' the Syrians and Russians when we finally bombed after a chemical weapon use. That put Syria in-line. Everyone forgets that.
Let me say that again ... Trump took out the leadership, not the low fruit, not the individual Iranian soldiers, that
'made the calls.' Just like Trump took out the Syrian capability for chemical weapons usage. It was basically,
"We know where you are, and if you pull it enough times, we take you out."
So now the question isn't just what Iran
'does next.' Iran will
'strike back.' But how?
- Civilians -- the US went after the Iranian 'expeditionary forces' in Iraq, as they were committing acts of terror -- so Iran killing civilians wouldn't go over well.
- Military -- Iran strikes at US military assets. They may have some success. But what happens when the US starts destroying 'equivalent' capabilities in the Gulf? I don't see that 'ending well' for Iran, even if the US avoids hitting Iran itself.
- US Soil -- The US hasn't attacked Iranian soil. This would also look poorly for Iran.
I don't see this ending well for Iran.
As always, let's pull out and let China v. Europe happen in the Middle East. The US is completely independent energy-wise, and we're back to being 100% domestic for not only rare earth mining, but refining. We don't need the Chinese at all.
In fact, I say we cut them off from Helium and other resources.